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Premier League
Referee: K Friend
Burnley
T U T T U
0–0
Full-time
Norwich
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Norwich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
1,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-2,3
This season — Premier League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
1,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 3
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burnley 19. · Norwich 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 6 4 2 0 +11 14
2 Man United 7 4 2 1 +8 14
3 Everton 7 4 2 1 +5 14
4 Man City 6 4 1 1 +11 13
5 Chelsea 6 4 1 1 +10 13
6 Brighton 6 4 1 1 +3 13
7 West Ham 6 3 2 1 +5 11
8 Aston Villa 6 3 1 2 +2 10
9 Brentford 6 2 3 1 +3 9
10 Arsenal 6 3 0 3 -5 9
11 Tottenham 6 3 0 3 -5 9
12 Watford 6 2 1 3 -2 7
13 Leicester 6 2 1 3 -3 7
14 Wolves 6 2 0 4 -2 6
15 Crystal Palace 6 1 3 2 -3 6
16 Southampton 6 0 4 2 -3 4
17 Newcastle 6 0 3 3 -7 3
18 Leeds 6 0 3 3 -8 3
19 Burnley 6 0 2 4 -6 2
20 Norwich 6 0 0 6 -14 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burnley Norwich
James Tarkowski 🟨
11′
Matthew Lowton 🟨
25′
Chris Wood 🟨
25′
27′
🟨 Mathias Normann
Josh Brownhill 🟨
33′
J. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ M. Vydra
34′
Half-time 0–0
Jay Rodriguez 🟨
49′
J. Guðmunds­son 🔁
↦ A. Lennon
60′
74′
🟨 Max Aarons
A. Barnes 🔁
↦ C. Wood
80′
80′
🔁 M. Rashica
↦ T. Pukki
80′
🔁 L. Rupp
↦ P. Lees Melou
90′
🔁 A. Idah
↦ J. Sargent
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Burnley

4-4-2
1 N. Pope G
2 M. Lowton D
5 J. Tarkowski D
3 C. Taylor D
22 N. Collins D
17 A. Lennon M
18 A. Westwood M
8 J. Brownhill M
27 M. Vydra F
9 C. Wood F
11 D. McNeil M
Bench (9)
19 J. Rodriguez
7 J. Guðmunds­son
10 A. Barnes
25 W. Norris
28 K. Long
26 P. Bardsley
4 J. Cork
23 E. Pieters
13 W. Hennessey

Coach: S. Dyche

Norwich

5-3-2
1 T. Krul G
5 G. Hanley D
4 B. Gibson D
30 D. Giannoulis D
2 M. Aarons D
15 O. Kabak D
23 K. McLean M
16 M. Normann M
20 P. Lees Melou M
22 T. Pukki F
24 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
17 M. Rashica
7 L. Rupp
35 A. Idah
18 C. Tzolis
44 A. Omobamidele
28 A. Gunn
8 B. Gilmour
10 K. Dowell
21 B. Williams

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U ✓
3,61
B
4,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Friend · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.