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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
RB Leipzig
S T T U S
3–0
Full-time
Bochum
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 12. · Bochum 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 +18 16
2 Dortmund 7 5 0 2 +6 15
3 Freiburg 7 4 3 0 +6 15
4 Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 +9 13
5 Wolfsburg 7 4 1 2 +1 13
6 FC Koln 7 3 3 1 +4 12
7 Mainz 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 M'gladbach 7 3 1 3 -1 10
9 Union Berlin 6 2 3 1 +0 9
10 Hoffenheim 7 2 2 3 +1 8
11 Stuttgart 7 2 2 3 -1 8
12 RB Leipzig 6 2 1 3 +5 7
13 Hertha 7 2 0 5 -12 6
14 Ein Frankfurt 6 0 5 1 -3 5
15 Augsburg 7 1 2 4 -10 5
16 Bielefeld 6 0 4 2 -3 4
17 Bochum 6 1 1 4 -9 4
18 Greuther Furth 7 0 1 6 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig Bochum
Emil Forsberg ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
5′
Half-time 0–0
Angeliño 🟨
58′
N. Mukiele 🔁
↦ Angeliño
61′
André Silva 🔁
↦ Y. Poulsen
69′
D. Szoboszlai 🔁
↦ E. Forsberg
69′
1–0 André Silva
D. Szoboszlai
69′
73′
🔁 S. Polter
↦ G. Holtmann
2–0 C. Nkunku
André Silva
73′
77′
🔁 E. Löwen
↦ E. Rexhbeçaj
78′
🔁 M. Pantović
↦ C. Antwi-Adjei
78′
🔁 D. Blum
↦ T. Asano
3–0 C. Nkunku
J. Gvardiol
78′
Ilaix Moriba 🔁
↦ K. Kampl
79′
K. Laimer 🔁
↦ M. Simakan
79′
80′
🟨 Robert Tesche
82′
🔁 P. Osterhage
↦ R. Tesche
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

3-4-2-1
1 P. Gulácsi G
16 L. Klostermann D
3 Angeliño M
2 M. Simakan D
32 J. Gvardiol D
10 E. Forsberg F
44 K. Kampl M
18 C. Nkunku F
14 T. Adams M
8 A. Haïdara M
9 Y. Poulsen F
Bench (9)
22 N. Mukiele
33 André Silva
17 D. Szoboszlai
26 Ilaix Moriba
27 K. Laimer
38 Hugo Novoa
21 B. Brobbey
39 B. Henrichs
31 Josep Martínez

Coach: J. Marsch

Bochum

4-2-3-1
1 M. Riemann G
3 Danilo Soares D
11 H. Bockhorn D
37 A. Bella-Kotchap D
23 R. Tesche M
8 A. Losilla M
20 E. Rexhbeçaj M
4 E. Mašović D
17 G. Holtmann M
10 T. Asano F
22 C. Antwi-Adjei M
Bench (7)
40 S. Polter
38 E. Löwen
27 M. Pantović
7 D. Blum
6 P. Osterhage
24 V. Lampropoulos
21 M. Esser

Coach: T. Reis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
6,84
B
13,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,40
U2,5
2,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.