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Bundesliga

Referee: T Welz

Dortmund

T S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Augsburg

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Augsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

4,8

2,2

Scored

2,8

0,3

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,5

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

4,8

2,2

Scored

2,8

0,3

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

71% Possession 29%

17 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 4. · Augsburg 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	5	1	0	+18	16
2	Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Wolfsburg	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Dortmund	6	4	0	2	+5	12
5	Freiburg	6	3	3	0	+5	12
6	FC Koln	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Mainz	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Union Berlin	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Hoffenheim	6	2	2	2	+3	8
10	RB Leipzig	6	2	1	3	+5	7
11	M'gladbach	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-11	6
13	Stuttgart	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Ein Frankfurt	6	0	5	1	-3	5
15	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-9	5
16	Bielefeld	6	0	4	2	-3	4
17	Bochum	6	1	1	4	-9	4
18	Greuther Furth	7	0	1	6	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+13	9
3	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Union Berlin	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Freiburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	M'gladbach	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Wolfsburg	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	RB Leipzig	3	2	0	1	+7	6
10	Leverkusen	3	2	0	1	+4	6
11	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Bochum	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	+1	3
14	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Ein Frankfurt	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	Bielefeld	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
18	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Wolfsburg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Freiburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+3	4
6	Dortmund	3	1	0	2	-1	3
7	Mainz	3	1	0	2	-1	3
8	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-11	3
9	FC Koln	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	Ein Frankfurt	3	0	2	1	-3	2
11	Augsburg	3	0	2	1	-3	2
12	Stuttgart	3	0	2	1	-4	2
13	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	RB Leipzig	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Bielefeld	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	M'gladbach	3	0	0	3	-6	0
17	Bochum	3	0	0	3	-9	0
18	Greuther Furth	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.