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Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
T U U S T
1–2
Full-time
Leczna
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Leczna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 19%
31%
6%
Points per game
1,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 66%
63%
69%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 11. · Leczna 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 16 10 5 1 +23 35
2 Pogon Szczecin 17 10 5 2 +19 35
3 Lechia Gdansk 16 8 6 2 +10 30
4 Rakow 15 8 5 2 +11 29
5 Radomiak Radom 16 7 7 2 +8 28
6 Slask Wroclaw 17 6 6 5 +3 24
7 Gornik Zabrze 16 7 3 6 +1 24
8 Stal Mielec 17 6 6 5 -1 24
9 Wisla Plock 17 7 2 8 +1 23
10 Piast Gliwice 16 6 3 7 +1 21
11 Jagiellonia 16 5 6 5 -2 21
12 Cracovia 16 5 5 6 -2 20
13 Wisla 16 5 2 9 -11 17
14 Zaglebie 15 5 2 8 -11 17
15 Nieciecza 16 2 6 8 -8 12
16 Legia 14 4 0 10 -10 12
17 Warta Poznan 16 2 5 9 -11 11
18 Leczna 16 1 6 9 -21 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.