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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

Sturm Graz

T T U T S

1–1

Full-time

Admira

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Admira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 35%

50%

19%

Points per game

1,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

81%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

69%

56%

Average goals

3,6

2,6

Scored

2,1

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

21 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 0

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Admira 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	16	12	3	1	+24	39
2	Sturm Graz	16	8	3	5	+8	27
3	Wolfsberger AC	16	8	3	5	+0	27
4	A. Klagenfurt	16	5	7	4	+1	22
5	Ried	16	5	6	5	-10	21
6	Austria Vienna	16	4	8	4	+3	20
7	Hartberg	16	5	5	6	+1	20
8	SK Rapid	16	5	5	6	-1	20
9	Tirol	16	4	7	5	-4	19
10	Admira	16	3	6	7	-3	15
11	LASK	16	3	5	8	-5	14
12	Altach	16	3	4	9	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	7	6	1	0	+16	19
2	Ried	8	4	4	0	+4	16
3	SK Rapid	8	5	0	3	+5	15
4	Sturm Graz	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	A. Klagenfurt	8	3	5	0	+3	14
6	Wolfsberger AC	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Tirol	8	2	5	1	+4	11
8	Austria Vienna	8	2	5	1	+3	11
9	Admira	8	2	2	4	+2	8
10	LASK	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Hartberg	8	2	2	4	-3	8
12	Altach	9	1	2	6	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	6	2	1	+8	20
2	Wolfsberger AC	8	4	2	2	-1	14
3	Sturm Graz	8	4	1	3	+4	13
4	Hartberg	8	3	3	2	+4	12
5	Austria Vienna	8	2	3	3	+0	9
6	A. Klagenfurt	8	2	2	4	-2	8
7	Altach	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	Tirol	8	2	2	4	-8	8
9	Admira	8	1	4	3	-5	7
10	LASK	8	1	3	4	-4	6
11	SK Rapid	8	0	5	3	-6	5
12	Ried	8	1	2	5	-14	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.