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Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk
U S S U T
3–1
Full-time
Rakow
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 52%
50%
53%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
50%
73%
Both score Ø 55%
56%
53%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 3. · Rakow 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 16 10 5 1 +23 35
2 Pogon Szczecin 17 10 5 2 +19 35
3 Lechia Gdansk 16 8 6 2 +10 30
4 Rakow 15 8 5 2 +11 29
5 Radomiak Radom 16 7 7 2 +8 28
6 Slask Wroclaw 17 6 6 5 +3 24
7 Gornik Zabrze 16 7 3 6 +1 24
8 Stal Mielec 17 6 6 5 -1 24
9 Wisla Plock 17 7 2 8 +1 23
10 Piast Gliwice 16 6 3 7 +1 21
11 Jagiellonia 17 5 6 6 -3 21
12 Cracovia 16 5 5 6 -2 20
13 Wisla 16 5 2 9 -11 17
14 Zaglebie 15 5 2 8 -11 17
15 Nieciecza 16 2 6 8 -8 12
16 Legia 14 4 0 10 -10 12
17 Leczna 17 2 6 9 -20 12
18 Warta Poznan 16 2 5 9 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.