Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rakow
Leczna
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +40 | 65 |
| 2 |
Rakow
|
30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | +27 | 62 |
| 3 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | +30 | 59 |
| 4 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +15 | 52 |
| 5 |
Piast Gliwice
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 47 |
| 6 |
Radomiak Radom
|
30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | +5 | 43 |
| 7 |
Wisla Plock
|
29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | +0 | 42 |
| 8 |
Cracovia
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 |
Legia
|
29 | 11 | 3 | 15 | -4 | 36 |
| 11 |
Warta Poznan
|
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 |
Jagiellonia
|
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 |
Stal Mielec
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 15 |
Zaglebie
|
30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | -21 | 31 |
| 16 |
Wisla
|
29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -13 | 29 |
| 17 |
Nieciecza
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -20 | 27 |
| 18 | Leczna | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -27 | 27 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Pogon Szczecin
Rakow
Nieciecza
Rakow
Rakow
Slask Wroclaw
Warta Poznan
Rakow
Rakow
Legia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.