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Ekstraklasa

Warta Poznan

T S T S S

0–0

Full-time

Stal Mielec

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/22 matches

Win Ø 31%

43%

18%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

43%

55%

Both score Ø 54%

43%

64%

Average goals

2,3

2,9

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Warta Poznan 8. · Stal Mielec 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	23	16	3	4	+21	51
2	Pogon Szczecin	24	13	5	6	+13	44
3	Rakow	23	11	7	5	+11	40
4	Lechia Gdansk	23	11	3	9	+6	36
5	Piast Gliwice	23	9	7	7	+6	34
6	Slask Wroclaw	23	9	6	8	+4	33
7	Gornik Zabrze	23	9	5	9	+2	32
8	Warta Poznan	23	10	2	11	+0	32
9	Jagiellonia	24	9	4	11	-6	31
10	Lech Poznan	23	7	8	8	+1	29
11	Zaglebie	23	8	5	10	-4	29
12	Wisla	24	7	7	10	+1	28
13	Cracovia	24	6	10	8	-5	28
14	Wisla Plock	24	6	7	11	-10	25
15	Podbeskidzie	23	5	6	12	-25	21
16	Stal Mielec	22	4	7	11	-15	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	12	7	4	1	+10	25
2	Legia	12	8	1	3	+9	25
3	Slask Wroclaw	11	6	4	1	+7	22
4	Rakow	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	Lechia Gdansk	12	6	1	5	+6	19
6	Jagiellonia	12	5	3	4	+3	18
7	Zaglebie	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Podbeskidzie	12	5	3	4	-5	18
9	Gornik Zabrze	12	5	2	5	+2	17
10	Cracovia	12	4	5	3	-1	17
11	Warta Poznan	11	5	1	5	+0	16
12	Piast Gliwice	11	4	3	4	+1	15
13	Lech Poznan	11	3	5	3	+0	14
14	Wisla	12	4	1	7	-3	13
15	Stal Mielec	11	3	4	4	-6	13
16	Wisla Plock	12	3	3	6	-3	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	11	8	2	1	+12	26
2	Rakow	11	5	4	2	+6	19
3	Piast Gliwice	12	5	4	3	+5	19
4	Pogon Szczecin	12	6	1	5	+3	19
5	Lechia Gdansk	11	5	2	4	+0	17
6	Warta Poznan	12	5	1	6	+0	16
7	Wisla	12	3	6	3	+4	15
8	Lech Poznan	12	4	3	5	+1	15
9	Gornik Zabrze	11	4	3	4	+0	15
10	Wisla Plock	12	3	4	5	-7	13
11	Jagiellonia	12	4	1	7	-9	13
12	Slask Wroclaw	12	3	2	7	-3	11
13	Cracovia	12	2	5	5	-4	11
14	Zaglebie	12	3	2	7	-5	11
15	Stal Mielec	11	1	3	7	-9	6
16	Podbeskidzie	11	0	3	8	-20	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.