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Champions League
Referee: D Strukan
Rakow
S S S U U
2–1
Full-time
Aris
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,3
Scored
2,2
3,2
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
This season — Champions League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
8,0
Scored
2,0
5,5
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
6 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rakow Aris
1–0 V. Kochergin ⚽
F. Tudor
7′
Fran Tudor 🟨
24′
34′
🟨 Július Szőke
Giannis Papanikolaou 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 V. Nikolić
↦ J. Szöke
2–0 F. Piasecki ⚽
63′
64′
🔁 M. Stępiński
↦ S. Babicka
71′
🔁 A. Moucketou-Moussounda
↦ F. Brorsson
D. Sorescu 🔁
↦ V. Kochergin
73′
Ł. Zwoliński 🔁
↦ F. Piasecki
73′
76′
🔁 J. Montnor
↦ L. Bengtsson
S. Kittel 🔁
↦ M. Cebula
86′
B. Lederman 🔁
↦ G. Berggren
86′
88′
⚽ M. Mayambela 2–1
K. Struski
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-3
1 V. Kovačević G
25 B. Racovițan D
24 Z. Arsenić D
4 S. Svarnas D
7 F. Tudor M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
5 G. Berggren M
20 Jean Carlos M
30 V. Kochergin F
99 F. Piasecki F
77 M. Cebula F
Bench (10)
22 D. Sorescu
9 Ł. Zwoliński
93 S. Kittel
8 B. Lederman
6 S. Czyż
15 A. Kovačević
12 A. Tsiftsis
21 D. Drachal
27 B. Nowak
14 S. Plavšić

Coach: D. Szwarga

Aris

4-2-3-1
1 Vaná G
6 E. Boakye D
31 F. Brorsson D
20 S. Yago D
3 Caju D
37 J. Szöke M
23 K. Struski M
21 M. Mayambela F
14 Y. Gomis M
7 L. Bengtsson M
80 S. Babicka M
Bench (10)
22 V. Nikolić
11 M. Stępiński
5 A. Moucketou-Moussounda
66 J. Montnor
12 A. Demetriou
90 E. Sofroniou
78 K. Chrysostomou
8 M. Brown
72 S. Urošević
10 M. Špoljarić

Coach: A. Shpilevskiy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Strukan · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.