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Bundesliga

Referee: M Greinecker

Altach

U U T T U

2–0

Full-time

Ried

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Altach Ried

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

29%

39%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

42%

45%

Both score Ø 50%

48%

52%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,21 xG 0,68

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

6 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Altach 9. · Ried 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	31	16	7	8	+11	+12.9	55
2	Sturm Graz	31	15	8	8	+14	+8.7	53
3	Salzburg	31	13	9	9	+17	+10.2	48
4	Austria Vienna	31	14	5	12	-2	-0.2	47
5	SK Rapid	31	12	8	11	-3	-1.7	44
6	Ried	31	12	6	13	-2	-0.8	42
7	Tirol	31	10	10	11	-10	+1.0	40
8	Hartberg	31	9	12	10	-2	-14.1	39
9	Altach	31	9	12	10	-5	-6.6	39
10	Wolfsberger AC	31	10	8	13	-3	-12.3	38
11	Grazer AK	31	8	10	13	-6	-0.7	34
12	BW Linz	31	8	5	18	-9	+3.5	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	16	10	3	3	+9	+10.2	33
2	Altach	15	7	6	2	+4	+1.1	27
3	Ried	16	8	3	5	+3	+1.9	27
4	Tirol	16	7	5	4	+3	+3.6	26
5	Grazer AK	16	6	7	3	+6	+3.1	25
6	SK Rapid	16	7	2	7	-1	-0.4	23
7	Salzburg	15	6	4	5	+8	+5.0	22
8	BW Linz	15	7	1	7	+8	+7.3	22
9	Wolfsberger AC	15	5	6	4	+3	-3.5	21
10	Austria Vienna	15	6	3	6	-5	+1.3	21
11	Sturm Graz	15	5	5	5	-2	+3.9	20
12	Hartberg	16	4	5	7	-6	-5.1	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	16	10	3	3	+16	+4.8	33
2	Salzburg	16	7	5	4	+9	+5.2	26
3	Austria Vienna	16	8	2	6	+3	-1.5	26
4	Hartberg	15	5	7	3	+4	-9.0	22
5	LASK	15	6	4	5	+2	+2.7	22
6	SK Rapid	15	5	6	4	-2	-1.3	21
7	Wolfsberger AC	16	5	2	9	-6	-8.8	17
8	Ried	15	4	3	8	-5	-2.7	15
9	Tirol	15	3	5	7	-13	-2.6	14
10	Altach	16	2	6	8	-9	-7.7	12
11	Grazer AK	15	2	3	10	-12	-3.9	9
12	BW Linz	16	1	4	11	-17	-3.8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.