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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myc
Wisla Plock
S S T T T
0–1
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wisla Plock Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 41%
38%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
34%
47%
Both score Ø 49%
47%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,73 xG 1,01
45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wisla Plock 7. · Gornik Zabrze 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 32 15 11 6 +15 +27.8 56
2 Jagiellonia 32 14 10 8 +14 -5.9 52
3 Gornik Zabrze 32 14 8 10 +7 -3.6 50
4 Rakow 32 14 7 11 +6 +10.3 49
5 Zaglebie 33 13 9 11 +8 -8.7 48
6 GKS Katowice 32 14 6 12 +6 -5.4 48
7 Wisla Plock 32 12 9 11 -3 -2.2 45
8 Radomiak Radom 32 11 11 10 +5 -1.4 44
9 Pogon Szczecin 33 13 5 15 -2 +5.6 44
10 Legia 32 10 13 9 +0 +3.1 43
11 Lechia Gdansk 32 12 7 13 -1 +5.6 43
12 Motor Lublin 33 10 13 10 -3 -9.7 43
13 Korona Kielce 33 11 9 13 +0 -3.5 42
14 Piast Gliwice 32 11 8 13 -1 -0.8 41
15 Cracovia 33 9 14 10 -3 +2.4 41
16 Widzew Lodz 33 11 6 16 -1 +3.9 39
17 Arka Gdynia 32 9 9 14 -23 -8.2 36
18 Nieciecza 32 7 7 18 -24 -9.1 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wisla Plock Gornik Zabrze
Łukasz Sekulski 🟨
24′
Half-time 0–0
S. Hamulic 🔁
↦ D. Juric
60′
G. Niarchos 🔁
↦ L. Sekulski
68′
Nemanja Mijušković 🟨
70′
70′
🔁 L. Podolski
↦ L. Sadilek
70′
🔁 L. Ambros
↦ P. Hellebrand
70′
🔁 E. Janza
↦ O. Zmrzly
75′
M. Khlan 0–1
L. Ambros
D. Sarapata 🔁
↦ K. Pomorski
77′
78′
🔁 K. Lukoszek
↦ M. Khlan
84′
🟨 Lukáš Ambros
85′
🔁 R. Massimo
↦ Y. Ikia Dimi
Quentin Lecoeuche 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Wisla Plock

3-1-4-2
12 R. Leszczynski G
25 N. Mijuskovic D
35 M. Kaminski D
13 Q. Lecoeuche D
14 D. Kun M
21 Z. Rogelj M
6 K. Pomorski M
30 W. Nowak M
19 D. Gallapeni M
20 L. Sekulski F
99 D. Juric F
Bench (10)
26 J. Burek
77 S. Hamulic
18 D. Sarapata
37 M. Bokhno
16 F. Hiszpanski
2 K. Custovic
84 T. Tavares
66 I. Salvador
17 M. Djalo
9 G. Niarchos

Coach: Mariusz Misiura

Gornik Zabrze

4-3-3
1 M. Lubik G
16 P. Olkowski D
26 R. Janicki D
20 Josema D
67 O. Zmrzly D
13 L. Sadilek M
8 P. Hellebrand M
14 J. Kubicki M
7 Y. Ikia Dimi F
23 S. Liseth F
33 M. Khlan F
Bench (12)
99 T. Loska
92 P. Pietryga
10 L. Podolski
4 P. Bochniewicz
18 L. Ambros
28 B. Donio
64 E. Janza
15 R. Massimo
36 M. Rakoczy
5 K. Szczesniak
17 K. Lukoszek
77 B. Rupanov

Coach: Michal Gasparik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Myc · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.