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Premiership

Referee: D Robertson

Celtic

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Hearts

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 67%

68%

65%

Points per game

2,1

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

68%

51%

Both score Ø 52%

57%

46%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,8

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,82 xG 0,96

67% Possession 33%

14 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 9

6 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celtic 2. · Hearts 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	37	24	8	5	+35	+14.5	80
2	Celtic	37	25	4	8	+30	+24.1	79
3	Rangers	37	19	12	6	+30	+21.0	69
4	Motherwell	37	15	13	9	+22	+8.6	58
5	Hibernian	37	15	12	10	+15	+0.8	57
6	Falkirk	37	14	7	16	-9	+3.0	49
7	Dundee United	37	10	14	13	-11	-11.6	44
8	Aberdeen	37	11	7	19	-14	-14.6	40
9	Dundee	37	10	9	18	-20	-14.4	39
10	Kilmarnock	37	9	10	18	-21	-11.1	37
11	St Mirren	37	8	9	20	-25	-2.8	33
12	Livingston	37	2	15	20	-32	-17.6	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	19	15	4	0	+26	+8.0	49
2	Celtic	18	14	1	3	+26	+15.8	43
3	Rangers	19	11	5	3	+18	+16.0	38
4	Motherwell	19	10	6	3	+19	+11.3	36
5	Hibernian	18	8	6	4	+14	+5.4	30
6	Dundee	18	8	4	6	+2	-6.3	28
7	Dundee United	19	7	7	5	+2	-2.4	28
8	Aberdeen	19	7	5	7	+5	-4.8	26
9	Falkirk	19	7	5	7	+2	+5.7	26
10	Kilmarnock	19	7	4	8	+0	+2.5	25
11	St Mirren	18	5	5	8	-11	+1.4	20
12	Livingston	17	1	8	8	-9	-5.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	19	11	3	5	+4	+8.3	36
2	Rangers	18	8	7	3	+12	+5.0	31
3	Hearts	18	9	4	5	+9	+6.5	31
4	Hibernian	19	7	6	6	+1	-4.6	27
5	Falkirk	18	7	2	9	-11	-2.7	23
6	Motherwell	18	5	7	6	+3	-2.7	22
7	Dundee United	18	3	7	8	-13	-9.1	16
8	Aberdeen	18	4	2	12	-19	-9.8	14
9	St Mirren	19	3	4	12	-14	-4.2	13
10	Kilmarnock	18	2	6	10	-21	-13.5	12
11	Dundee	19	2	5	12	-22	-8.0	11
12	Livingston	20	1	7	12	-23	-12.0	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.