Copa del Rey
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Atlético Lugones
Vallecano
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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The table before the match ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Eibar
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |
Buñol
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |
Las Palmas
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Levante
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
Deportivo Murcia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Turégano
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Hernán Cortés
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Espanol
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
Almeria
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Castellon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Atlético Lugones
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Tardienta
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Chiclana
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Boiro
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Quintanar
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Rubí
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 17 |
Rotlet Molinar
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Cacereño
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 |
Pradejón
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 |
Zirauki
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 |
Mijas Las Lagunas
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Monte
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Unión Zona Norte
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Melilla CD
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 25 |
Santurtzi
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 26 |
Sauzal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 27 |
Mensajero
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 |
CF Talavera
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |
Ceuta 6 de Junio
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 30 |
Manacor
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 31 |
Varea
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 32 |
Lorca Deportiva
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Match report
Line-ups
Atlético Lugones
Bench (11)
Coach: Christian
Vallecano
Dani Cárdenas
A. Rațiu
Pep Chavarría
Kike Pérez
Jorge de Frutos
Sergio Camello
Bench (8)
Coach: Francisco
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Recent matches
Referee
Alejandro Muñiz · 69 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.