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Copa del Rey

Referee: Álvaro Moreno

Atlético Astorga

1–0

Full-time

Andorra

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Atlético Lugones	2	1	0	1	-5	3
26	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
5	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
6	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
26	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
27	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atlético Astorga Andorra

21′

🔁 Rubén Bover

↦ Pablo Moreno

1–0 Ivi Vales ⚽

David Álvarez

22′

Half-time 1–0

Albertin 🟨

48′

63′

🔁 Iván Gil

↦ Rubén Bover

63′

🔁 Diego Alende

↦ Adrià Vilanova

Lorento 🔁

↦ Herrador

68′

A. Thiao 🔁

↦ Javi Amor

68′

70′

🔁 A. Scheidler

↦ Iker Benito

70′

🔁 Álex Calvo

↦ A. Arroyo

72′

🟨 L. Shabani

Mario Presa 🔁

↦ Diego Peláez

78′

Óscar Crespo 🔁

↦ Christian Bueno

85′

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Atlético Astorga

1 Sergio García

4 Andrés Calvo

5 Miguel Manso

3 Herrador

2 Davo Lorenzo

14 David Álvarez

6 Albertín

22 Christian Bueno

21 Ivi Vales

7 Diego Peláez

10 Javi Amor

Bench (9)

19 Lorento

15 A. Thiao

9 Mario Presa

18 Óscar Crespo

12 Jonatan Lopes

8 Pablo Quintana

17 Álex Matos

13 Pablo Barredo

11 Sergio Fernández

Coach: José Lago

Andorra

N. Ratti

5 Adrià Vilanova

22 A. Arroyo

2 Migue Leal

José Marsà

Sergio Molina

12 L. Shabani

Álvaro Martín

Manu Nieto

24 Pablo Moreno

27 Iker Benito

Bench (11)

21 Rubén Bover

10 Iván Gil

23 Diego Alende

19 A. Scheidler

17 Álex Calvo

18 Álex Petxa

13 Oier

33 He Xiaoke

25 Dani Martín

8 Sergi Samper

15 Diego González

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Álvaro Moreno · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,5 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

26,3 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Atlético Astorga

Andorra

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee