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La Liga

Referee: Gil Manzano

Betis

S T T S U

1–0

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 45%

40%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

30%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,9

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

0,9

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,94 xG 0,54

42% Possession 58%

24 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 10

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 4

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Betis 8. · Ath Madrid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	+27	+15.3	30
2	Real Madrid	11	7	3	1	+10	+8.0	24
3	Villarreal	11	6	3	2	+1	+3.5	21
4	Ath Madrid	10	5	5	0	+10	+9.4	20
5	Ath Bilbao	10	5	2	3	+6	+1.8	17
6	Mallorca	10	5	2	3	+2	+3.8	17
7	Vallecano	11	4	4	3	+2	-1.6	16
8	Betis	10	4	3	3	+1	+5.9	15
9	Osasuna	10	4	3	3	-2	-2.2	15
10	Sevilla	11	4	3	4	-3	-2.1	15
11	Celta	11	4	1	6	-3	+1.5	13
12	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	+0	+1.1	12
13	Girona	11	3	3	5	-3	+1.8	12
14	Leganes	11	2	5	4	-3	-8.9	11
15	Getafe	11	1	7	3	-1	+3.2	10
16	Alaves	11	3	1	7	-6	-4.3	10
17	Espanol	11	3	1	7	-9	-10.0	10
18	Las Palmas	11	2	3	6	-6	-9.2	9
19	Valladolid	11	2	2	7	-14	-7.3	8
20	Valencia	11	1	4	6	-9	-9.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	5	0	1	+7	+6.4	15
2	Osasuna	6	4	1	1	+4	+2.1	13
3	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+13	+8.4	12
4	Ath Madrid	5	3	2	0	+8	+10.3	11
5	Ath Bilbao	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.0	11
6	Celta	6	3	1	2	+3	+2.4	10
7	Betis	5	3	1	1	+3	+5.9	10
8	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+0	+1.9	9
9	Espanol	6	3	0	3	-1	-1.0	9
10	Vallecano	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.8	8
11	Getafe	6	1	5	0	+2	+5.6	8
12	Mallorca	5	2	2	1	+1	+1.2	8
13	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	-1	-0.5	8
14	Girona	5	2	1	2	+1	+1.2	7
15	Leganes	5	2	1	2	+1	+0.1	7
16	Alaves	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.0	7
17	Las Palmas	6	1	3	2	-1	-3.8	6
18	Valencia	5	1	2	2	+0	-1.2	5
19	Valladolid	6	1	2	3	-2	-1.4	5
20	Sociedad	5	1	1	3	-1	+1.1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	0	1	+14	+6.9	18
2	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+2	+4.0	13
3	Real Madrid	5	2	3	0	+3	+1.6	9
4	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+2	-0.9	9
5	Mallorca	5	3	0	2	+1	+2.6	9
6	Sociedad	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.0	8
7	Vallecano	6	2	2	2	+0	-4.4	8
8	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+1	+1.8	6
9	Sevilla	6	1	3	2	-3	-4.0	6
10	Betis	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.0	5
11	Girona	6	1	2	3	-4	+0.6	5
12	Leganes	6	0	4	2	-4	-9.0	4
13	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-5	-1.3	3
14	Las Palmas	5	1	0	4	-5	-5.4	3
15	Celta	5	1	0	4	-6	-0.9	3
16	Valladolid	5	1	0	4	-12	-5.8	3
17	Getafe	5	0	2	3	-3	-2.4	2
18	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-6	-4.3	2
19	Valencia	6	0	2	4	-9	-8.6	2
20	Espanol	5	0	1	4	-8	-8.9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.