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Coppa Italia

Referee: L Zufferli

Sampdoria

T T T U T

2–2

Full-time

Ascoli

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 1

5 Offside 1

25 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 13. · Ascoli 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	2	2	0	+7	6
2	Spezia	2	2	0	+6	6
3	Bari	3	2	1	+5	6
4	Cremonese	2	2	0	+3	6
5	Parma	2	2	0	+3	6
6	Monza	2	2	0	+2	6
7	Genoa	2	2	0	+2	6
8	Modena	3	2	1	+1	6
9	Brescia	2	1	1	+1	3
10	FeralpiSalo	2	1	1	+1	3
11	Cagliari	1	1	0	+1	3
12	Ascoli	1	1	0	+1	3
13	Sampdoria	1	1	0	+1	3
14	Bologna	1	1	0	+1	3
15	Udinese	2	1	1	+0	3
16	Spal	2	1	1	+0	3
17	Palermo	2	1	1	-2	3
18	Cittadella	2	1	1	-3	3
19	Reggiana	1	0	1	-1	0
20	Perugia	1	0	1	-1	0
21	Lecce	1	0	1	-1	0
22	Venezia	1	0	1	-1	0
23	Frosinone	1	0	1	-1	0
24	Benevento	1	0	1	-1	0
25	Sassuolo	1	0	1	-1	0
26	Ternana	1	0	1	-1	0
27	Empoli	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Reggina	1	0	1	-1	0
29	Cosenza	1	0	1	-1	0
30	Sudtirol	1	0	1	-2	0
31	Catanzaro	1	0	1	-2	0
32	Salernitana	1	0	1	-2	0
33	Pisa	1	0	1	-3	0
34	Verona	1	0	1	-3	0
35	Padova	1	0	1	-3	0
36	Como	1	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	2	2	0	+7	6
2	Spezia	2	2	0	+6	6
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	+3	6
4	Modena	2	2	0	+3	6
5	Genoa	2	2	0	+2	6
6	Bari	1	1	0	+3	3
7	Palermo	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Cagliari	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Monza	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Sampdoria	1	1	0	+1	3
11	Bologna	1	1	0	+1	3
12	Parma	1	1	0	+1	3
13	Udinese	2	1	1	+0	3
14	Lecce	1	0	1	-1	0
15	Venezia	1	0	1	-1	0
16	Empoli	1	0	1	-1	0
17	Sudtirol	1	0	1	-2	0
18	Salernitana	1	0	1	-2	0
19	Pisa	1	0	1	-3	0
20	Verona	1	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	2	1	1	+2	3
2	Parma	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Brescia	2	1	1	+1	3
4	FeralpiSalo	2	1	1	+1	3
5	Ascoli	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Monza	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Spal	2	1	1	+0	3
8	Cittadella	2	1	1	-3	3
9	Reggiana	1	0	1	-1	0
10	Perugia	1	0	1	-1	0
11	Frosinone	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Benevento	1	0	1	-1	0
13	Sassuolo	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Ternana	1	0	1	-1	0
15	Reggina	1	0	1	-1	0
16	Cosenza	1	0	1	-1	0
17	Modena	1	0	1	-2	0
18	Catanzaro	1	0	1	-2	0
19	Padova	1	0	1	-3	0
20	Palermo	1	0	1	-3	0
21	Como	1	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.