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Serie B

Referee: M Piccinini

Perugia

T T U T T

1–0

Full-time

Ascoli

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,0

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%

15 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 20. · Ascoli 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	5	4	0	1	+9	12
2	Brescia	5	4	0	1	+3	12
3	Cagliari	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Frosinone	5	3	0	2	+4	9
5	Bari	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Ascoli	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Genoa	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Benevento	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Palermo	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Ternana	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Parma	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Sudtirol	5	2	0	3	-4	6
15	Spal	4	1	2	1	-1	5
16	Venezia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Modena	5	1	0	4	-2	3
18	Como	5	0	2	3	-5	2
19	Pisa	5	0	1	4	-4	1
20	Perugia	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cittadella	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Reggina	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Brescia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Palermo	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Ascoli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Ternana	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Parma	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Modena	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Sudtirol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Cosenza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Spal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Benevento	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Genoa	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Perugia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Como	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Reggina	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Benevento	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Cagliari	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Frosinone	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Ternana	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Sudtirol	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Parma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Spal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Cittadella	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Como	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Pisa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Modena	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Perugia	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.