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Coppa Italia

Referee: D Ghersini

Torino

T U S S T

2–0

Full-time

Cosenza

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Cosenza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

8 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Avellino	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.