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Primeira Liga
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Estoril
U S T T T
1–4
Full-time
Santa Clara
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Santa Clara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,15 xG 2,72
41% Possession 59%
4 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 20
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Apr -23 Estoril – Santa Clara 3–0 14. Nov -22 Santa Clara – Estoril 3–1 10. Apr -22 Santa Clara – Estoril 2–0 29. Nov -21 Estoril – Santa Clara 2–2

Match report

Estoril Santa Clara
1–0 A. Marqués ⚽
Y. Begraoui
19′
34′
🟨 Lucas Soares
41′
🟨 Vinícius Lopes
44′
⚽ Vinícius Lopes 1–1
MT
Half-time 1–1
Wagner Pina 🟨
49′
Jandro Orellana 🟨
55′
Fabrício Garcia 🔁
↦ Y. Begraoui
60′
Bernardo Vital 🔁
↦ Jandro Orellana
60′
70′
⚽ Alisson Safira 1–2
72′
🔁 Ricardinho
↦ Vinícius Lopes
72′
🔁 Diogo Calila
↦ Lucas Soares
74′
⚽ Ricardinho 1–3
Alisson Safira
André Lacximicant 🔁
↦ R. Guitane
77′
Hélder Costa 🔁
↦ A. Marqués
77′
Pedro Álvaro 🟨
79′
Eliaquim Mangala 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 Allison Safira
André Lacximicant 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 Matheus Pereira
↦ Alisson Safira
82′
🔁 João Costa
↦ Gabriel Silva
83′
⚽ João Costa 1–4
Matheus Pereira
86′
🔁 Gustavo Klismahn
↦ Adriano Firmino
Vinicius Zanocelo 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Estoril

4-3-3
99 Daniel Figueira G
20 Wagner Pina D
23 Pedro Álvaro D
5 E. Mangala D
24 Pedro Amaral D
6 Jandro Orellana M
7 Vinicius Zanocelo M
8 Michel M
10 R. Guitane F
9 A. Marqués F
14 Y. Begraoui F
Bench (9)
17 Fabrício Garcia
3 Bernardo Vital
19 André Lacximicant
11 Hélder Costa
21 Fran Pereira
18 Gonçalo Costa
1 K. Chamorro
22 Pedro Carvalho
33 M. Ndiaye

Coach: I. Cathro

Santa Clara

3-4-3
1 Gabriel Batista G
23 Sidney Lima D
21 Frederico Venâncio D
14 Alysson D
42 Lucas Soares M
8 Pedro Ferreira M
6 Adriano Firmino M
32 MT M
70 Vinícius Lopes F
9 Alisson Safira F
11 Gabriel Silva F
Bench (9)
10 Ricardinho
2 Diogo Calila
3 Matheus Pereira
17 João Costa
77 Gustavo Klismahn
35 Serginho
16 Paulo Henrique
13 Luís Rocha
12 Neneca

Coach: Vasco Matos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
🔒
U
3,22
🔒
B ✓
3,47
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,38
🔒
U2,5
1,57
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.