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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Aganovic

Sirius

T S T S S

3–1

Full-time

Kalmar

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,8

3,0

Scored

3,0

0,8

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 35%

41%

29%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

65%

71%

Both score Ø 59%

53%

65%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,6

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,64 xG 1,48

48% Possession 52%

18 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 8. · Kalmar 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	18	13	2	3	+29	+18.8	41
2	Djurgarden	17	11	2	4	+16	+1.3	35
3	Hammarby	17	10	1	6	+13	+0.8	31
4	Mjallby	17	9	2	6	+4	-0.6	29
5	GAIS	17	9	1	7	-1	-3.6	28
6	Hacken	17	8	3	6	+5	-3.3	27
7	Elfsborg	17	8	1	8	+7	+4.3	25
8	Sirius	17	7	3	7	+2	+0.9	24
9	Brommapojkarna	17	6	6	5	-2	+3.5	24
10	AIK	17	7	2	8	-6	+1.9	23
11	Norrkoping	18	7	2	9	-15	-3.0	23
12	Halmstad	18	7	0	11	-11	-6.4	21
13	Goteborg	18	5	5	8	-8	-4.2	20
14	Varnamo	18	5	4	9	-6	-6.0	19
15	Kalmar	17	5	1	11	-15	-7.1	16
16	Vasteras SK	18	3	3	12	-12	+2.9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	8	7	0	1	+18	+7.4	21
2	Mjallby	9	6	2	1	+8	+0.7	20
3	Elfsborg	9	6	1	2	+14	+4.0	19
4	GAIS	9	6	1	2	+5	+0.5	19
5	Hammarby	8	6	0	2	+11	+0.2	18
6	Djurgarden	9	5	2	2	+4	-1.8	17
7	Hacken	9	5	1	3	+7	-1.7	16
8	AIK	8	5	0	3	+8	+2.6	15
9	Halmstad	9	5	0	4	+4	-1.1	15
10	Norrkoping	9	5	0	4	-4	-1.5	15
11	Sirius	8	3	2	3	+4	+1.7	11
12	Brommapojkarna	8	2	3	3	-6	+0.9	9
13	Goteborg	9	2	3	4	-6	-4.4	9
14	Vasteras SK	9	2	1	6	-6	+1.3	7
15	Kalmar	9	2	1	6	-7	-2.1	7
16	Varnamo	9	1	2	6	-10	-2.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	10	6	2	2	+11	+11.4	20
2	Djurgarden	8	6	0	2	+12	+3.1	18
3	Brommapojkarna	9	4	3	2	+4	+2.5	15
4	Varnamo	9	4	2	3	+4	-3.3	14
5	Hammarby	9	4	1	4	+2	+0.6	13
6	Sirius	9	4	1	4	-2	-0.8	13
7	Hacken	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
8	Goteborg	9	3	2	4	-2	+0.2	11
9	Mjallby	8	3	0	5	-4	-1.3	9
10	GAIS	8	3	0	5	-6	-4.0	9
11	Kalmar	8	3	0	5	-8	-5.0	9
12	Norrkoping	9	2	2	5	-11	-1.6	8
13	AIK	9	2	2	5	-14	-0.7	8
14	Elfsborg	8	2	0	6	-7	+0.2	6
15	Halmstad	9	2	0	7	-15	-5.3	6
16	Vasteras SK	9	1	2	6	-6	+1.6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.