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Championship

Referee: L Smith

Sheffield Weds

U U S S S

4–0

Full-time

Plymouth

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Plymouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4,68 xG 0,23

59% Possession 41%

31 Shots 5

11 Shots on target 1

11 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

15 Corners 1

4 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
2	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
3	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
4	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
5	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
6	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
7	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.4	3
8	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
9	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.5	1
10	Portsmouth	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.5	1
11	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
12	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
13	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
14	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.4	0
15	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
16	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
17	QPR	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
18	Preston	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
19	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
20	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
2	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
3	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.4	3
4	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.5	1
6	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
7	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
8	QPR	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
9	Preston	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
10	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
2	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
3	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
4	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
5	Portsmouth	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.5	1
6	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
7	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.4	0
8	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
9	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
10	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.