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Primeira Liga
Referee: Ricardo Baixinho
Sp Braga
S T S S U
1–1
Full-time
Estrela
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Estrela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,41 xG 0,69
65% Possession 35%
13 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Mar -24 Sp Braga – Estrela 3–0 28. Sep -23 Estrela – Sp Braga 2–4

Match report

Sp Braga Estrela
45′
🟨 Manuel Keliano
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. El Ouazzani ⚽
R. Zalazar
53′
João Moutinho 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 Nani
↦ Gustavo Henrique
68′
🔁 Léo Cordeiro
↦ Manuel Keliano
Bruma 🔁
↦ Roger Fernandes
69′
João Marques 🔁
↦ Vitor Carvalho
70′
S. Banza 🔁
↦ A. El Ouazzani
70′
72′
🔁 A. Ruiz
↦ Rodrigo Pinho
80′
⚽ Kikas 1–1
Nilton Varela
Roberto Fernández 🔁
↦ Ricardo Horta
85′
Rodrigo Zalazar 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Nani
86′
🔁 Rúben Lima
↦ Nilton Varela
86′
🔁 Caio Santana
↦ André Luiz
Joao Marques 🟨
87′
90′
🟨 Alan Ruiz
90′
🟨 Leonel Bucca
97′
🟨 Miguel Lopes
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-1-4-1
1 Matheus G
17 J. Mendes D
26 B. Arrey-Mbi D
4 S. Niakaté D
19 Adrián Marín D
6 Vitor Carvalho M
21 Ricardo Horta M
8 João Moutinho M
16 R. Zalazar M
11 Roger Fernandes M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
Bench (9)
7 Bruma
33 João Marques
23 S. Banza
90 Roberto Fernández
22 T. Helguera
12 Tiago Sá
5 S. Saatçı
27 B. Wdowik
77 Gabri Martínez

Coach: Daniel Sousa

Estrela

4-4-2
30 Bruno Brígido G
77 Danilo Veiga D
13 Miguel Lopes D
5 I. Dramé D
25 Nilton Varela D
7 André Luiz M
42 Manuel Keliano M
26 L. Bucca M
11 Gustavo Henrique M
98 Kikas F
9 Rodrigo Pinho F
Bench (9)
17 Nani
22 Léo Cordeiro
10 A. Ruiz
28 Rúben Lima
38 Caio Santana
4 Ferro
1 Francisco Meixedo
31 Eurichano Setila
8 Daniel Cabral

Coach: Filipe Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,38
🔒
U ✓
5,04
🔒
B
7,45
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,54
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,42
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ricardo Baixinho · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.