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Primeira Liga
Referee: Miguel Nogueira
Farense
T S S T T
1–2
Full-time
Moreirense
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Farense Moreirense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,40 xG 2,20
53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Feb -24 Farense – Moreirense 0–1 23. Sep -23 Moreirense – Farense 1–0 8. Feb -21 Farense – Moreirense 1–2 20. Sep -20 Moreirense – Farense 2–0

Match report

Farense Moreirense
-5′
🟨 Alan
7′
⚽ Maracás 0–1
Alan
22′
🟨 Sidnei Tavares
Half-time 0–1
Álex Bermejo 🔁
↦ Marco Matias
57′
Tomané 🔁
↦ Filipe Soares
58′
64′
🟨 Sidnei Tavares
64′
🟥 Sidnei Tavares
1–1 Álex Bermejo ⚽
Rivaldo Morais
66′
67′
🔁 L. Ofori
↦ Alan
73′
🔁 Pedro Santos
↦ J. Antonisse
Elves Baldé 🔁
↦ Darío Poveda
74′
74′
🔁 Gabrielzinho
↦ Madson
79′
⚽ Luís Asué 1–2
L. Ofori
83′
🔁 Carlos Ponck
↦ Luís Asué
83′
🔁 Guilherme Liberato
↦ Rúben Ismael
Geovanny Almeida 🔁
↦ Marco Moreno
88′
J. Velásquez 🔁
↦ Neto
88′
96′
🟨 Kewin
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Farense

4-2-3-1
33 Ricardo Velho G
70 Rivaldo Morais D
3 Marco Moreno D
44 Lucas Áfrico D
12 Talys D
6 Neto M
29 Cláudio Falcão M
62 M. Belloumi M
21 Filipe Soares M
77 Marco Matias M
14 Darío Poveda F
Bench (9)
11 Álex Bermejo
9 Tomané
7 Elves Baldé
16 Geovanny Almeida
10 J. Velásquez
22 Miguel Carvalho
34 Raúl Silva
4 Artur Jorge
31 Talocha

Coach: José Mota

Moreirense

4-2-3-1
40 Kewin G
2 Fabiano Souza D
44 Marcelo D
26 Maracás D
23 G. Frimpong D
5 Sidnei Tavares M
6 Rúben Ismael M
31 Madson M
11 Alan M
10 J. Antonisse M
9 Luís Asué F
Bench (9)
80 L. Ofori
21 Pedro Santos
77 Gabrielzinho
14 Carlos Ponck
28 Guilherme Liberato
76 Dinis Pinto
20 Benny
22 Caio Secco
95 Guilherme Schettine

Coach: César Peixoto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,92
🔒
U
3,22
🔒
B ✓
2,47
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,16
🔒
U2,5
1,69
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Miguel Nogueira · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.