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Allsvenskan
Referee: J Östling
AIK
T S T T S
1–0
Full-time
Mjallby
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Mjallby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
41%
53%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
65%
76%
Both score Ø 68%
65%
71%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,87 xG 1,31
52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
6 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 10. · Mjallby 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 18 13 2 3 +29 +18.8 41
2 Djurgarden 17 11 2 4 +16 +1.3 35
3 Hammarby 17 10 1 6 +13 +0.8 31
4 Mjallby 17 9 2 6 +4 -0.6 29
5 GAIS 17 9 1 7 -1 -3.6 28
6 Hacken 17 8 3 6 +5 -3.3 27
7 Elfsborg 17 8 1 8 +7 +4.3 25
8 Sirius 17 7 3 7 +2 +0.9 24
9 Brommapojkarna 17 6 6 5 -2 +3.5 24
10 AIK 17 7 2 8 -6 +1.9 23
11 Norrkoping 18 7 2 9 -15 -3.0 23
12 Halmstad 18 7 0 11 -11 -6.4 21
13 Goteborg 18 5 5 8 -8 -4.2 20
14 Varnamo 18 5 4 9 -6 -6.0 19
15 Kalmar 17 5 1 11 -15 -7.1 16
16 Vasteras SK 18 3 3 12 -12 +2.9 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AIK Mjallby
Half-time 0–0
A. Björnström 🔁
↦ E. Edh
50′
1–0 Rui Modesto
A. Salétros
56′
61′
🟨 Rasmus Wikström
69′
🔁 I. Jagne
↦ A. Manneh
69′
🔁 A. Johansson
↦ V. Gustafson
A. Milošević 🔁
↦ T. Ayari
76′
77′
🔁 Abdullah Iqbal
↦ T. Pettersson
Bersant Celina 🟨
86′
Kristoffer Nordfeldt 🟨
92′
J. Guidetti 🔁
↦ I. Pittas
93′
E. Ring 🔁
↦ B. Celina
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AIK

5-3-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
32 Rui Modesto D
17 M. Thychosen D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
16 B. Hansen D
2 E. Edh D
7 A. Salétros M
24 Lamine Fanne M
10 B. Celina M
45 T. Ayari F
28 I. Pittas F
Bench (9)
12 A. Björnström
5 A. Milošević
11 J. Guidetti
34 E. Ring
37 Ahmad Faqa
30 I. Diawara
43 V. Andersson
9 Omar Faraj
14 A. Stoch Rydell

Coach: H. Goitom

Mjallby

3-4-3
1 N. Törnqvist G
4 R. Wikström D
13 J. Kiilerich D
24 T. Pettersson D
14 H. Johansson M
22 J. Gustavsson M
10 N. Røjkjær M
17 E. Stroud M
7 V. Gustafson F
18 J. Bergström F
19 A. Manneh F
Bench (8)
6 I. Jagne
16 A. Johansson
5 Abdullah Iqbal
15 L. Svensson
25 I. Johnsson
35 A. Lundin
23 F. Linderoth
20 K. Nennesson

Coach: A. Torstensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Östling · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.