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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Vallecano
U S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Mallorca
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
28%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,9
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,37 xG 0,72
53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 15. · Mallorca 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 19 16 1 2 +33 +18.5 49
2 Real Madrid 19 14 3 2 +24 +23.7 45
3 Villarreal 18 13 2 3 +20 +8.5 41
4 Ath Madrid 19 11 5 3 +17 +8.1 38
5 Espanol 18 10 3 5 +3 +5.6 33
6 Betis 19 7 8 4 +6 +5.9 29
7 Celta 18 6 8 4 +4 -2.1 26
8 Ath Bilbao 19 7 3 9 -8 +6.5 24
9 Elche 19 5 8 6 +1 -6.8 23
10 Sociedad 19 5 6 8 -3 +1.4 21
11 Getafe 19 6 3 10 -10 -7.0 21
12 Girona 19 5 6 8 -16 -12.1 21
13 Sevilla 18 6 2 10 -5 -9.9 20
14 Osasuna 19 5 4 10 -4 -3.5 19
15 Vallecano 18 4 7 7 -7 +0.8 19
16 Alaves 19 5 4 10 -8 -2.1 19
17 Mallorca 18 4 6 8 -6 -10.7 18
18 Valencia 19 3 8 8 -13 -2.6 17
19 Levante 17 3 4 10 -9 -6.7 13
20 Oviedo 19 2 7 10 -19 -15.6 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano Mallorca
1–0 J. de Frutos
A. Garcia
4′
15′
🟨 Johan Mojica
30′
V. Muriqi 1–1
T. Lato
I. Balliu 🔁
↦ A. Ratiu
38′
40′
🟨 Martin Valjent
2–1 I. Palazon
42′
Half-time 2–1
Jorge de Frutos 🟨
46′
58′
🟨 Toni Lato
59′
🔁 M. Joseph
↦ T. Lato
61′
🟨 Pablo Maffeo
G. Gumbau 🔁
↦ P. Diaz
69′
Pacha 🔁
↦ J. de Frutos
69′
70′
🔁 S. Darder
↦ A. Sanchez
70′
🔁 P. Torre
↦ O. Mascarell
Óscar Valentín ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
79′
F. Perez 🔁
↦ C. Martin
79′
Óscar Valentín 🟥
80′
R. Nteka 🔁
↦ A. Garcia
81′
81′
🔁 A. Prats
↦ P. Maffeo
81′
🔁 J. Llabres
↦ Samu Costa
86′
🟨 Pablo Torre
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 A. Batalla G
2 A. Ratiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
32 N. Mendy D
3 P. Chavarria D
23 O. Valentin M
4 P. Diaz M
14 C. Martin M
7 I. Palazon M
18 A. Garcia M
19 J. de Frutos F
Bench (11)
1 D. Cardenas
40 A. Molina
8 O. Trejo
9 Alemao
10 S. Camello
11 R. Nteka
15 G. Gumbau
20 I. Balliu
21 F. Perez
22 Pacha
33 J. Vertrouwd

Coach: Inigo Perez

Mallorca

4-4-2
1 L. Roman G
23 P. Maffeo D
24 M. Valjent D
4 M. Kumbulla D
22 J. Mojica D
6 A. Sanchez M
12 Samu Costa M
5 O. Mascarell M
3 T. Lato M
17 J. Virgili F
7 V. Muriqi F
Bench (10)
13 L. Bergstrom
2 M. Morey Bauza
9 A. Prats
10 S. Darder
11 T. Asano
18 M. Joseph
19 J. Llabres
20 P. Torre
26 I. Salhi
27 D. Lopez

Coach: Jagoba Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,88
U
3,23
B
4,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,40
U2,5
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.