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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Aberdeen
T U T T T
0–2
Full-time
Rangers
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
33%
52%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
29%
48%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
57%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,47 xG 1,93
52% Possession 48%
7 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 8. · Rangers 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 21 14 5 2 +23 +7.7 47
2 Celtic 21 13 2 6 +17 +10.8 41
3 Rangers 21 11 8 2 +15 +3.2 41
4 Motherwell 22 9 10 3 +14 +6.7 37
5 Hibernian 22 9 8 5 +13 +2.0 35
6 Falkirk 21 8 6 7 -4 +0.4 30
7 Dundee United 22 5 10 7 -6 -7.2 25
8 Aberdeen 21 7 4 10 -6 -6.3 25
9 Dundee 22 6 4 12 -15 -6.0 22
10 St Mirren 20 4 6 10 -12 +2.4 18
11 Kilmarnock 22 2 8 12 -19 -7.6 14
12 Livingston 21 1 7 13 -20 -5.9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Rangers
23′
T. Aasgaard 0–1
J. Meghoma
30′
ℹ️ Emmanuel Fernandez
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–1
K. Nisbet 🔁
↦ M. Lazetic
46′
Mats Knoester 🟨
54′
54′
🟨 John Souttar
T. Keskinen 🔁
↦ J. Karlsson
57′
59′
🟨 Thelo Aasgaard
62′
🟨 Youssef Chermiti
Leighton Clarkson 🟨
63′
S. Armstrong 🔁
↦ N. Milanovic
68′
K. Bilalovic 🔁
↦ L. Clarkson
68′
74′
J. Tavernier 0–2
A. Aouchiche 🔁
↦ G. Shinnie
79′
88′
🔁 N. Djiga
↦ M. Moore
90′
🔁 B. Miovski
↦ Chermiti
93′
🔁 M. Aarons
↦ J. Tavernier
93′
🔁 R. Matondo
↦ D. Gassama
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-1-4-1
1 D. Mitov G
2 N. Devlin D
22 J. Milne D
5 M. Knoester D
77 E. Gyamfi
10 L. Clarkson M
11 N. Milanovic M
8 D. Polvara M
4 G. Shinnie M
17 J. Karlsson M
27 M. Lazetic F
Bench (9)
13 N. Suman
7 A. Aouchiche
16 S. Armstrong
14 K. Bilalovic
6 S. Nilsen
28 A. Jensen
38 D. Lobban
81 T. Keskinen
15 K. Nisbet

Coach: Peter Leven

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
5 J. Souttar D
37 E. Fernandez D
30 J. Meghoma D
43 N. Raskin M
10 M. Diomande M
23 D. Gassama M
11 T. Aasgaard M
47 M. Moore M
9 Chermiti F
Bench (9)
31 L. Kelly
3 M. Aarons
24 N. Djiga
19 C. Nsiala
20 K. Dowell
17 R. Matondo
18 O. Antman
28 B. Miovski
99 Danilo Pereira

Coach: Danny Rohl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,47
U
3,74
B ✓
1,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.