Premiership
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aberdeen
Rangers
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hearts
|
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | +23 | +7.7 | 47 |
| 2 |
Celtic
|
21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | +17 | +10.8 | 41 |
| 3 |
Rangers
|
21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | +15 | +3.2 | 41 |
| 4 |
Motherwell
|
22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | +14 | +6.7 | 37 |
| 5 |
Hibernian
|
22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | +13 | +2.0 | 35 |
| 6 |
Falkirk
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | -4 | +0.4 | 30 |
| 7 |
Dundee United
|
22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | -6 | -7.2 | 25 |
| 8 |
Aberdeen
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -6 | -6.3 | 25 |
| 9 |
Dundee
|
22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -15 | -6.0 | 22 |
| 10 |
St Mirren
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -12 | +2.4 | 18 |
| 11 |
Kilmarnock
|
22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -19 | -7.6 | 14 |
| 12 |
Livingston
|
21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | -20 | -5.9 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Mitov
G
N. Devlin
D
J. Milne
D
M. Knoester
D
J. Karlsson
M
Coach: Peter Leven
E. Fernandez
D
J. Meghoma
D
N. Raskin
M
M. Diomande
M
D. Gassama
M
T. Aasgaard
M
M. Moore
M
Chermiti
F
Coach: Danny Rohl
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Rangers
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Celtic
Aberdeen
D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.