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Taça de Portugal
Torreense
T S U S S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torreense União de Leiria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Taça de Portugal · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
75%
Points per game
2,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torreense 6. · União de Leiria 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lusitano Évora 1911 5 4 0 1 +11 12
2 Vila Meã 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 Fafe 4 4 0 0 +4 12
4 União de Leiria 4 3 1 0 +5 10
5 Caldas 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Torreense 4 3 1 0 +4 10
7 Porto 3 3 0 0 +10 9
8 Farense 4 3 0 1 +7 9
9 Sp Braga 3 3 0 0 +6 9
10 Benfica 3 3 0 0 +6 9
11 Sp Lisbon 3 3 0 0 +5 9
12 Comércio Indústria 4 3 0 1 +3 9
13 AVS 3 2 1 0 +8 7
14 Espinho 3 2 1 0 +5 7
15 Academico Viseu 3 2 1 0 +4 7
16 1º Dezembro 4 2 1 1 +0 7
17 Mortágua 4 2 1 1 -1 7
18 Lusitânia Lourosa 3 2 0 1 +6 6
19 Alpendorada 3 2 0 1 +5 6
20 Casa Pia 3 2 0 1 +5 6
21 CD Olivais e Moscavide 3 2 0 1 +4 6
22 Guimaraes 3 2 0 1 +4 6
23 Amarante 3 2 0 1 +2 6
24 CF Os Belenenses 3 2 0 1 +2 6
25 Vianense 3 2 0 1 +1 6
26 Famalicao 3 2 0 1 +1 6
27 Leixoes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
28 Vila Caíz 3 2 0 1 +1 6
29 Atlético CP 3 2 0 1 +1 6
30 Vila Real 3 2 0 1 -1 6
31 Sintrense 3 2 0 1 -1 6
32 AD Marco 09 3 2 0 1 -1 6
33 Silves 3 2 0 1 -2 6
34 Celoricense 3 2 0 1 -2 6
35 Marinhense 4 1 2 1 +3 5
36 Anadia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
37 Ovarense 2 1 1 0 +6 4
38 Benfica Castelo Branco 2 1 1 0 +6 4
39 Tondela 2 1 1 0 +4 4
40 Moncarapachense 2 1 1 0 +3 4
41 Gouveia 2 1 1 0 +2 4
42 Santa Clara 3 1 1 1 +2 4
43 Oliveirense 2 1 1 0 +2 4
44 Os Marialvas 2 1 1 0 +1 4
45 SC Covilha 3 1 1 1 -1 4
46 Peniche 2 1 0 1 +7 3
47 Sacavenense 2 1 0 1 +5 3
48 Atlético Malveira 2 1 0 1 +5 3
49 Louletano 2 1 0 1 +4 3
50 Bragança 2 1 0 1 +4 3
51 Trofense 2 1 0 1 +3 3
52 Felgueiras 1932 2 1 0 1 +2 3
53 O Elvas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
54 FC Serpa 2 1 0 1 +2 3
55 Naval 1893 2 1 0 1 +2 3
56 São João Ver 2 1 0 1 +1 3
57 Rebordosa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
58 Salgueiros 2 1 0 1 +0 3
59 Nacional 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Portimonense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
61 Arouca 2 1 0 1 +0 3
62 Pacos Ferreira 2 1 0 1 +0 3
63 Estoril 2 1 0 1 +0 3
64 Correlhã 2 1 0 1 +0 3
65 Chaves 2 1 0 1 +0 3
66 Oriental Lisboa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
67 Mirandela 2 1 0 1 +0 3
68 União Lamas 2 1 0 1 +0 3
69 Uniao Nogueirense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
70 Nazarenos 2 1 0 1 +0 3
71 Ançã 2 1 0 1 -1 3
72 Monção 2 1 0 1 -1 3
73 Machico 2 1 0 1 -1 3
74 Resende 2 1 0 1 -1 3
75 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2 1 0 1 -3 3
76 Brito 2 1 0 1 -4 3
77 Castrense 2 1 0 1 -4 3
78 AD Fornos Algodres 2 1 0 1 -5 3
79 Alverca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Samora Correir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Penafiel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Rebordelo 2 0 1 1 -2 1
84 Portimonense B 2 0 1 1 -2 1
85 Charneca Caparica 2 0 1 1 -2 1
86 Rio Ave 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Oliveira Hospital 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Eléctrico 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Camacha 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Gil Vicente 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Alcochetense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Vizela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Fazendense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Tirsense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Lagoa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 AR São Martinho 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Castro Daire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Vitória de Sernache 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Carregal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Academica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
102 Juventude Évora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
103 Moreirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
104 Feirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
105 Vilaverdense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
106 Quarteirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
107 Amora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
108 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -1 0
109 Florgrade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
110 Cinfães 1 0 0 1 -1 0
111 Mafra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
112 Celeirós 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Sourense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Águias do Moradal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Pontassolense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
116 Beira-Mar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
117 Estrela 1 0 0 1 -2 0
118 Aparecida GO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
119 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -2 0
120 Leça 1 0 0 1 -2 0
121 União Santarém 1 0 0 1 -2 0
122 Paredes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
123 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
124 UD da Serra 1 0 0 1 -2 0
125 Valpaços 1 0 0 1 -2 0
126 Vidago 1 0 0 1 -2 0
127 Valenciano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
128 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
129 Viana Alentejo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
130 Portel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
131 Fátima 1 0 0 1 -3 0
132 Académico do Fundão 1 0 0 1 -3 0
133 Portalegrense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
134 Varzim 1 0 0 1 -4 0
135 Almodôvar 1 0 0 1 -4 0
136 Sanjoanense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
137 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
138 Os Limianos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
139 Operário 1 0 0 1 -5 0
140 Fayal 1 0 0 1 -5 0
141 Angrense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
142 Estrela Calheta 1 0 0 1 -6 0
143 SC Celoricense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
144 Mosteirense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
145 Urzelinense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
146 Lajense 2 0 0 2 -7 0
147 Rabo Peixe 1 0 0 1 -7 0
148 Ferreira Zêzere 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.