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Super League
Referee: R Saggi
Aris Thessalonikis
T S T U S
1–1
Full-time
AEK
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,5
3,8
Scored
0,7
2,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 15/17 matches
Win Ø 55%
33%
76%
Points per game
1,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
33%
29%
Both score Ø 41%
47%
35%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 8. · AEK 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 18 13 4 1 +26 43
2 PAOK 17 13 2 2 +24 41
3 AEK 17 13 2 2 +16 41
4 Levadeiakos 17 9 5 3 +21 32
5 Volos NFC 17 8 1 8 -4 25
6 Panathinaikos 15 6 5 4 +4 23
7 Aris 16 5 6 5 -3 21
8 Aris Thessalonikis 15 5 5 5 -3 20
9 Kifisia 17 4 7 6 -2 19
10 OFI Crete 16 6 0 10 -5 18
11 Panetolikos 17 5 3 9 -11 18
12 Asteras Tripolis 18 2 8 8 -9 14
13 Atromitos 17 3 4 10 -9 13
14 Larisa 17 1 7 9 -15 10
15 Panserraikos 16 1 3 12 -30 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Nov -25 AEK – Aris Thessalonikis 1–0 9. Mar -25 Aris Thessalonikis – AEK 0–0 30. Nov -24 AEK – Aris Thessalonikis 4–0 21. Apr -24 Aris Thessalonikis – AEK 1–2 14. Apr -24 AEK – Aris Thessalonikis 2–0

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis AEK
8′
⚽ A. Koita 0–1
R. Ljubicic
1–1 F. Jensen ⚽
11′
30′
🟨 Orbelín Pineda
Tino Kadewere 🟨
39′
39′
🟨 Aboubakary Koita
Half-time 1–1
Dudu ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
58′
61′
🔁 P. Mantalos
↦ O. Pineda
Giorgos Athanasiadis 🟨
66′
66′
🔁 N. Eliasson
↦ Joao Mario
66′
🔁 B. Varga
↦ R. Ljubicic
K. Galanopoulos 🔁
↦ F. Jensen
80′
84′
🔁 D. Kutesa
↦ A. Koita
Monchu 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-1-4-1
33 G. Athanasiadis G
15 A. Tejero D
24 P. Alvaro D
92 L. Rose D
27 N. Fadiga D
10 U. Racic M
7 C. Perez M
97 F. Jensen M
8 Monchu M
28 Dudu M
9 T. Kadewere F
Bench (12)
21 L. Majkic
25 M. Gning
18 O. Morutan
17 M. Frydek
11 A. Donis
77 M. Panagidis
70 G. Gianniotas
30 C. Kamtsis
49 O. Boussaid
4 Fabiano
6 K. Galanopoulos
13 S. Dioudis

Coach: Michalis Grigoriou

AEK

4-4-2
1 T. Strakosha G
28 M. Odubajo D
2 H. Moukoudi D
44 F. Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
23 R. Ljubicic M
13 O. Pineda M
18 R. Marin M
10 Joao Mario M
9 L. Jovic F
11 A. Koita F
Bench (12)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
15 M. Georgiev
21 D. Vida
29 J. Penrice
4 M. Grujic
20 P. Mantalos
7 D. Kutesa
8 M. Gacinovic
17 D. Kaloskamis
19 N. Eliasson
25 B. Varga

Coach: Marko Nikolic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.