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Super League
Aris
T S T U S
1–1
Full-time
AEK
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,5
4,3
Scored
0,7
3,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 57%
33%
81%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
33%
31%
Both score Ø 39%
47%
31%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris 8. · AEK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 18 13 4 1 +26 43
2 PAOK 17 13 2 2 +24 41
3 AEK 16 13 1 2 +16 40
4 Levadeiakos 17 9 5 3 +21 32
5 Volos NFC 17 8 1 8 -4 25
6 Panathinaikos 15 6 5 4 +4 23
7 Aris Thessalonikis 15 5 5 5 -3 20
8 Aris 15 5 5 5 -3 20
9 Kifisia 17 4 7 6 -2 19
10 OFI Crete 16 6 0 10 -5 18
11 Panetolikos 17 5 3 9 -11 18
12 Asteras Tripolis 18 2 8 8 -9 14
13 Atromitos 17 3 4 10 -9 13
14 Larisa 17 1 7 9 -15 10
15 Panserraikos 16 1 3 12 -30 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,24
U ✓
3,52
B
1,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.