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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid
Leganes
T U U T S
3–0
Full-time
Valladolid
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
40%
30%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
45%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,93 xG 1,17
44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 17. · Valladolid 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 21 11 5 5 +14 +0.2 38
2 Las Palmas 21 10 8 3 +13 -0.1 38
3 Almeria 21 10 6 5 +10 +0.9 36
4 La Coruna 21 9 7 5 +11 +2.7 34
5 Castellon 20 10 4 6 +9 +3.2 34
6 Cadiz 21 9 7 5 +2 -0.8 34
7 Burgos 21 9 5 7 +5 +2.5 32
8 Ceuta 20 9 5 6 +0 -4.0 32
9 Sp Gijon 21 9 3 9 -3 +1.2 30
10 Malaga 20 8 5 7 +4 -0.8 29
11 Cordoba 20 7 8 5 +2 +0.6 29
12 Valladolid 20 6 7 7 +1 +3.9 25
13 Andorra 21 6 7 8 -6 +1.0 25
14 Cultural Leonesa 21 7 4 10 -8 -7.8 25
15 Eibar 21 6 6 9 -3 +0.5 24
16 Albacete 21 6 6 9 -8 +1.3 24
17 Leganes 20 5 8 7 -1 +1.2 23
18 Sociedad B 21 6 5 10 -2 -1.2 23
19 Huesca 20 6 5 9 -9 +1.3 23
20 Granada 20 4 9 7 -4 -0.1 21
21 Zaragoza 21 5 5 11 -14 -2.8 20
22 Mirandes 21 4 5 12 -13 -3.2 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Valladolid
Lalo Aguilar ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
7′
Juan Cruz
penalty missed
9′
Juan Cruz ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
11′
11′
🟨 Mohamed Jaouab
1–0 A. Millan
13′
1–1 M. Jaouab
own goal
44′
Half-time 1–1
Enric Franquesa 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 R. Martinez
↦ M. Jaouab
46′
🔁 Chuki
↦ J. Ponceau
51′
🟨 Peter González
Seydouba Cisse 🟨
55′
R. Lopez 🔁
↦ O. Plano
61′
G. Melero 🔁
↦ S. Cisse
61′
67′
🔁 M. Maroto
↦ M. Lachuer
67′
🔁 S. Biuk
↦ S. Canos
Roberto López 🟨
70′
I. Miquel 🔁
↦ E. Franquesa
72′
D. Garcia 🔁
↦ A. Millan
72′
Juan Cruz 🟨
76′
2–1 R. Lopez
N. Garcia
80′
B. Pauwels 🔁
↦ J. Cruz
81′
83′
🔁 A. Arnuncio
↦ V. Erlien
93′
🟥 Guilherme Fernandes
VAR: Red card cancelled
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Leganes

4-3-3
1 J. Soriano G
7 R. Pena D
6 G. Aguilar Lopez D
2 Marvel D
15 E. Franquesa D
24 A. Diawara M
8 S. Cisse M
20 O. Plano M
10 J. Cruz F
23 A. Millan F
17 N. Garcia F
Bench (12)
13 M. San Roman
31 J. Garrido
3 J. Saenz
5 I. Miquel
9 M. de la Fuente
14 R. Lopez
16 G. Melero
18 B. Pauwels
19 D. Garcia
21 A. Campos
26 C. Guirao
36 M. Leiva

Coach: Francisco José López Fernández

Valladolid

4-3-3
13 Guilherme Fernandes G
14 I. Alejo D
23 M. Jaouab D
4 D. Torres D
30 H. Modesto D
21 J. Ponceau M
24 S. Juric M
6 M. Lachuer M
22 Peter Federico F
25 V. Erlien F
7 S. Canos F
Bench (10)
1 A. Aceves
2 Trilli
5 R. Martinez
12 I. Alani
16 M. Maroto
17 S. Biuk
19 A. Arnuncio
20 Chuki
27 I. Garriel
34 J. L. Aranda

Coach: Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
U
2,99
B
2,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.