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Taça de Portugal

Referee: Nuno Cruz Oliveira

O Elvas

1–1

Full-time

Tirsense

S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

O Elvas Tirsense

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/4 matches

Win Ø 88%

100%

75%

Points per game

3,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

1,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

0,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

This season — Taça de Portugal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match O Elvas 58. · Tirsense 39. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paredes	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	União de Leiria	2	2	0	0	+14	6
3	Nacional	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Santa Clara	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Academica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Felgueiras 1932	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	FC Serpa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Torreense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Rebordosa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	CD Olivais e Moscavide	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Sintrense	3	2	0	1	-2	6
13	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+13	4
14	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	1	0	+7	4
15	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
16	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	AD Marco 09	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
19	Pêro Pinheiro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Leixoes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
23	Amora	2	1	0	1	+7	3
24	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+5	3
25	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+5	3
26	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
27	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
28	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
29	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
30	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
31	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Vilar de Perdizes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	Vila Meã	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
49	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Quarteirense SAD	2	1	0	1	+1	3
51	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Estrela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Tocha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Sandinenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
63	Academico Viseu	2	1	0	1	-1	3
64	Rabo Peixe	2	1	0	1	-1	3
65	Fabril Barreiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
66	Ribeirão	2	1	0	1	-1	3
67	Mirandela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
68	Florgrade	2	1	0	1	-2	3
69	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
70	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
71	União Micaelense	2	1	0	1	-3	3
72	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
73	Pombal	2	1	0	1	-3	3
74	Atlético Malveira	2	0	2	0	+0	2
75	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
76	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
85	Sanjoanense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
86	Atlético CP	2	0	1	1	-1	1
87	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
88	SC Covilha	2	0	1	1	-3	1
89	Os Limianos	2	0	1	1	-4	1
90	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
106	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
107	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
108	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
109	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
110	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
120	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
121	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
122	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
123	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
124	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
125	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
126	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
127	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
128	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
129	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
130	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
131	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
132	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
133	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
134	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
135	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
136	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
137	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
138	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
139	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0
140	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paredes	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Academica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
6	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
7	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Felgueiras 1932	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Vilar de Perdizes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	União Micaelense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Rabo Peixe	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	Rebordosa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
31	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	-3	3
32	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
33	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Pêro Pinheiro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Leixoes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Atlético CP	2	0	1	1	-1	1
42	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
43	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Quarteirense SAD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Academico Viseu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Sandinenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Ribeirão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
77	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
78	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
79	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
80	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	União de Leiria	2	2	0	0	+14	6
2	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	AD Marco 09	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
13	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Tocha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Estrela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Fabril Barreiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Mirandela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
50	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	União Micaelense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
87	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
88	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
89	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

O Elvas Tirsense

1–0 D. Nketia ⚽

35′

🟨

43′

Half-time 1–0

46′

🔁 João Silva

↦ Bernardo Mesquita

🟨

47′

48′

🟨

60′

🔁 Rúben Moura

↦ João Sousa

60′

🔁 C. Ibarra

↦ Tomás Oliveira

60′

🔁 Nuno Campos

↦ C. Ogugua

H. Innusah 🔁

↦ Vilson Caleir

69′

73′

🔁 Mário Mendes

↦ Luís Neves

82′

🟨

Ari Almeida 🔁

↦ D. Nketia

83′

E. Okebe 🔁

↦ F. Almara

93′

M'Buli Nhaga 🔁

↦ Luís Dias

93′

94′

⚽ Rúben Moura 1–1

103′

🔁 Gonçalo Cardoso

↦ João Martins

🟨

116′

Pedro Victor 🔁

↦ Bruno Bolas

118′

Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

O Elvas

27 Bruno Bolas

3 Mamadu Djaló

4 Rúben Cardoso

21 Gabriel Fontes

22 Clésio Gomes

10 Luís Dias

6 R. Fomba

29 L. Enoh

11 F. Almara

19 D. Nketia

Vilson Caleir

Bench (8)

18 H. Innusah

9 Ari Almeida

14 E. Okebe

17 M'Buli Nhaga

1 Pedro Victor

16 Duarte Carapinha

45 Bernardo Soares

Duarte Magro

Coach: Pedro Hipólito

Tirsense

29 Fábio Mesquita

13 João Pedro

27 João Martins

26 Tomás Oliveira

66 Gil

10 Luís Neves

96 C. Ogugua

17 Bernardo Mesquita

32 J. Islas

62 Yuk Jin-Young

11 João Sousa

Bench (9)

9 João Silva

6 Rúben Moura

7 C. Ibarra

8 Nuno Campos

28 Mário Mendes

4 Gonçalo Cardoso

2 Tomás Pimenta

88 Diogo Gonçalves

Iván Cruz

Coach: Álvaro Madureira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

23. Sep TP 2 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

O Elvas

Tirsense

Odds comparison

Recent matches