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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Cercle Brugge
S S T T S
2–0
Full-time
Gent
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 61%
71%
50%
Points per game
2,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 70%
57%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,53 xG 0,42
41% Possession 59%
16 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
4 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 3. · Gent 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 7 6 0 1 +11 +7.9 18
2 Anderlecht 6 5 1 0 +7 +2.1 16
3 Cercle Brugge 7 5 0 2 +5 +5.7 15
4 Club Brugge 9 4 2 3 +11 +13.3 14
5 Antwerp 8 3 4 1 +11 +7.1 13
6 RWD Molenbeek 10 3 4 3 -8 -7.6 13
7 Gent 6 3 3 0 +3 +2.2 12
8 Genk 7 2 4 1 +7 +7.7 10
9 Standard 7 2 3 2 +1 -5.8 9
10 Mechelen 7 2 2 3 -2 -3.2 8
11 Kortrijk 9 2 2 5 -10 -1.9 8
12 Charleroi 9 1 4 4 -6 -4.2 7
13 Eupen 10 2 1 7 -14 -15.4 7
14 Westerlo 8 1 3 4 -5 -4.3 6
15 St Truiden 7 1 3 3 -6 -5.5 6
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 1 2 4 -5 +1.8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Gent
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Leonardo Lopes
T. Somers
46′
53′
🟨 Hyun-Seok Hong
Félix Lemaréchal 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 T. Tissoudali
↦ G. Orban
62′
🔁 O. Gandelman
↦ J. De Sart
63′
🔁 B. Agbor
↦ A. Brown
63′
🔁 M. Fofana
↦ Hong Hyun-Seok
Hugo Siquet 🟨
65′
K. Olaigbe 🔁
↦ F. Lemaréchal
70′
76′
🟥 Omri Gandelman
Flávio Nazinho 🔁
↦ H. Siquet
78′
81′
🔁 P. Gerkens
↦ A. Hjulsager
Hannes Van Der Bruggen 🟨
84′
E. Utkus 🔁
↦ Y. Gboho
86′
94′
🟥 Jordan Torunarigha
VAR: Red card cancelled
95′
🟨 Jordan Torunarigha
2–0 K. Denkey
Warleson
98′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

4-2-3-1
1 Warleson G
41 H. Siquet D
5 B. Popović D
4 J. Daland D
66 C. Ravych D
22 Leonardo Lopes M
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
34 T. Somers M
6 F. Lemaréchal M
10 Y. Gboho M
9 K. Denkey F
Bench (7)
19 K. Olaigbe
20 Flávio Nazinho
3 E. Utkus
77 J. Semedo Varela
27 N. De Wilde
11 A. Minda
21 M. Delanghe

Coach: M. Muslić

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 P. Nardi G
4 T. Watanabe D
23 J. Torunarigha D
3 A. Brown D
18 M. Samoise M
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok M
17 A. Hjulsager F
11 H. Cuypers F
20 G. Orban F
Bench (7)
10 T. Tissoudali
6 O. Gandelman
21 B. Agbor
19 M. Fofana
8 P. Gerkens
22 N. Fadiga
33 D. Roef

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,64
U
3,56
B
2,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.