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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

Genk

U U U S U

4–0

Full-time

Mechelen

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,53 xG 1,31

47% Possession 53%

19 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 11. · Mechelen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	7	6	0	1	+11	+7.9	18
2	Anderlecht	6	5	1	0	+7	+2.1	16
3	Cercle Brugge	7	5	0	2	+5	+5.7	15
4	Club Brugge	9	4	2	3	+11	+13.3	14
5	Antwerp	8	3	4	1	+11	+7.1	13
6	RWD Molenbeek	10	3	4	3	-8	-7.6	13
7	Gent	6	3	3	0	+3	+2.2	12
8	Standard	7	2	3	2	+1	-5.8	9
9	Mechelen	6	2	2	2	+2	-3.0	8
10	Kortrijk	9	2	2	5	-10	-1.9	8
11	Genk	6	1	4	1	+3	+7.5	7
12	Charleroi	9	1	4	4	-6	-4.2	7
13	Eupen	10	2	1	7	-14	-15.4	7
14	Westerlo	8	1	3	4	-5	-4.3	6
15	St Truiden	7	1	3	3	-6	-5.5	6
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	2	4	-5	+1.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gent	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.5	10
2	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+9	+4.4	9
3	Cercle Brugge	3	3	0	0	+4	+2.8	9
4	Anderlecht	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.7	9
5	Antwerp	4	2	2	0	+9	+7.0	8
6	Club Brugge	4	2	2	0	+8	+6.5	8
7	Kortrijk	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.5	8
8	RWD Molenbeek	6	2	2	2	-3	-4.5	8
9	Mechelen	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.1	7
10	Charleroi	4	1	3	0	+1	+2.2	6
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
12	Standard	4	1	1	2	-1	-4.2	4
13	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-7	-5.7	4
14	Genk	4	0	3	1	-1	+4.5	3
15	Westerlo	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.0	3
16	St Truiden	3	0	0	3	-7	-3.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	4	3	0	1	+2	+3.5	9
2	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.4	7
3	Club Brugge	5	2	0	3	+3	+6.7	6
4	St Truiden	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.7	6
5	Cercle Brugge	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.9	6
6	Antwerp	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.2	5
7	Standard	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.6	5
8	RWD Molenbeek	4	1	2	1	-5	-3.2	5
9	Genk	2	1	1	0	+4	+3.0	4
10	Westerlo	5	0	3	2	-2	-1.3	3
11	Eupen	5	1	0	4	-7	-9.7	3
12	Gent	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.6	2
13	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.9	1
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	1	3	-7	+1.8	1
15	Charleroi	5	0	1	4	-7	-6.4	1
16	Kortrijk	4	0	0	4	-11	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.