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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Hearts
T S T S U
1–4
Full-time
Celtic
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 63%
38%
88%
Points per game
1,4
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
13%
75%
Both score Ø 32%
13%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,9
2,4
Conceded
0,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 4. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 8 7 1 0 +14 22
2 Rangers 9 6 0 3 +12 18
3 St Mirren 8 4 3 1 +1 15
4 Hearts 8 3 2 3 +2 11
5 Kilmarnock 9 2 4 3 -1 10
6 Motherwell 8 3 1 4 -2 10
7 Livingston 9 2 4 3 -6 10
8 Aberdeen 8 2 3 3 +0 9
9 Hibernian 9 2 3 4 -3 9
10 Dundee 7 1 4 2 -3 7
11 Ross County 7 2 1 4 -6 7
12 ST Johnstone 8 0 4 4 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. May -23 Hearts – Celtic 0–2 8. Mar -23 Celtic – Hearts 3–1 22. Oct -22 Hearts – Celtic 3–4 21. Aug -22 Celtic – Hearts 2–0 7. May -22 Celtic – Hearts 4–1

Match report

Hearts Celtic
4′
⚽ M. O'Riley 0–1
L. Palma
23′
⚽ D. Maeda 0–2
R. Hatate
Half-time 0–3
51′
⚽ K. Furuhashi 0–3
Kenneth Vargas 🟨
58′
Y. Oda 🔁
↦ A. Lowry
58′
B. Baningime 🔁
↦ C. Nieuwenhof
58′
Toby Sibbick 🟨
59′
1–3 L. Shankland ⚽
64′
65′
🔁 J. Forrest
↦ L. Palma
66′
🔁 T. Iwata
↦ R. Hatate
72′
🔁 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↦ K. Furuhashi
72′
🔁 Yang Hyun-Jun
↦ D. Maeda
L. Boyce 🔁
↦ K. Vargas
73′
81′
⚽ T. Iwata 1–4
J. Grant 🔁
↦ C. Devlin
82′
82′
🔁 Paulo Bernardo
↦ C. McGregor
93′
🟨 Tomoki Iwata
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
28 Z. Clark G
21 T. Sibbick D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
19 A. Cochrane D
8 C. Nieuwenhof M
14 C. Devlin M
17 A. Forrest M
9 L. Shankland M
51 A. Lowry M
77 K. Vargas F
Bench (9)
11 Y. Oda
6 B. Baningime
10 L. Boyce
7 J. Grant
12 M. McGovern
22 A. Denholm
5 P. Haring
29 O. Offiah
16 A. Halliday

Coach: S. Naismith

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
38 D. Maeda F
8 K. Furuhashi F
7 L. Palma F
Bench (9)
49 J. Forrest
24 T. Iwata
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
28 Paulo Bernardo
6 N. Phillips
14 D. Turnbull
29 S. Bain
56 A. Ralston

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,10
🔒
U
4,67
🔒
B ✓
1,46
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,55
🔒
U2,5
2,39
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.