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Taça de Portugal

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Oliveirense

S T U

1–3

Full-time

Boavista

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oliveirense Boavista

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paredes	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Montalegre	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	FC Serpa	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	União de Leiria	2	2	0	0	+14	6
5	Nacional	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Mafra	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Tondela	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Santa Clara	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Felgueiras 1932	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	Academica	3	2	0	1	+3	6
14	Amarante	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Dumiense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Torreense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Rebordosa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	CD Olivais e Moscavide	3	2	0	1	+1	6
19	Sintrense	3	2	0	1	-2	6
20	Pêro Pinheiro	3	1	2	0	+1	5
21	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+13	4
22	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	1	0	+7	4
23	Canelas 2010	2	1	1	0	+5	4
24	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
25	Penafiel	2	1	1	0	+3	4
26	Tirsense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
27	AD Marco 09	2	1	1	0	+2	4
28	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
29	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
30	Leixoes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
31	O Elvas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
32	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
33	Amora	2	1	0	1	+7	3
34	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+5	3
35	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+5	3
36	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
37	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
38	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
39	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
40	Moncarapachense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
41	Vilar de Perdizes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
42	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
43	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Vila Meã	2	1	0	1	+2	3
45	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
48	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
49	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
50	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
51	Quarteirense SAD	2	1	0	1	+1	3
52	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Estrela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Tocha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Sandinenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Feirense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	1º Dezembro	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Pevidem	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	CF Os Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	AVS	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
64	Academico Viseu	2	1	0	1	-1	3
65	Rabo Peixe	2	1	0	1	-1	3
66	Fabril Barreiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
67	Ribeirão	2	1	0	1	-1	3
68	Mirandela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
69	Florgrade	2	1	0	1	-2	3
70	Mortágua	2	1	0	1	-2	3
71	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
72	Santa Maria FC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
73	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
74	União Micaelense	2	1	0	1	-3	3
75	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
76	Pombal	2	1	0	1	-3	3
77	Atlético Malveira	2	0	2	0	+0	2
78	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
79	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
85	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Sanjoanense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
89	Atlético CP	2	0	1	1	-1	1
90	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
91	SC Covilha	2	0	1	1	-3	1
92	Os Limianos	2	0	1	1	-4	1
93	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
106	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
107	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
108	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
109	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
110	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
111	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
112	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
113	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
114	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
120	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
121	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
122	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
123	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
124	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
125	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
126	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
127	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
128	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
129	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
130	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
131	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
132	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
133	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
134	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
135	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
136	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
137	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
138	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
139	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
140	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
141	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
142	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
143	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0
144	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paredes	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Academica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Dumiense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Canelas 2010	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	O Elvas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
9	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
10	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
11	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
12	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Moncarapachense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Felgueiras 1932	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Vilar de Perdizes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Montalegre	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	União Micaelense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
34	Rabo Peixe	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	Rebordosa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
37	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
38	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	-3	3
39	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
40	Pêro Pinheiro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
41	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Leixoes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Atlético CP	2	0	1	1	-1	1
49	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
50	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	CF Os Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Quarteirense SAD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Academico Viseu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Sandinenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Ribeirão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
84	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
85	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
86	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
87	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
88	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	União de Leiria	2	2	0	0	+14	6
2	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Tirsense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	AD Marco 09	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	FC Serpa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
10	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
15	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Tocha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Estrela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Fabril Barreiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Feirense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Pevidem	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	AVS	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Mirandela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Santa Maria FC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
52	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	União Micaelense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
94	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
95	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
96	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.