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Süper Lig

Referee: V Bayarslan

Fenerbahce

S S S S S

4–2

Full-time

Hatayspor

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 69%

100%

38%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

0,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+2,1

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,97 xG 0,78

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Hatayspor 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+13	+12.8	25
2	Fenerbahce	8	8	0	0	+17	+16.8	24
3	Ad. Demirspor	8	5	2	1	+10	+4.1	17
4	Besiktas	9	5	1	3	+2	+4.1	16
5	Kasimpasa	9	4	3	2	-2	-3.1	15
6	Hatayspor	8	3	5	0	+7	+2.8	14
7	Rizespor	9	4	2	3	-4	-4.2	14
8	Kayserispor	9	3	4	2	+1	+0.3	13
9	Trabzonspor	8	4	0	4	+4	-0.7	12
10	Sivasspor	9	2	4	3	-2	+0.4	10
11	Alanyaspor	8	2	4	2	-2	-1.6	10
12	Ankaragücü	9	2	3	4	+1	-2.1	9
13	Antalyaspor	9	2	3	4	-2	-0.5	9
14	Konyaspor	9	2	3	4	-3	-2.8	9
15	Gaziantep	9	3	0	6	-8	-6.2	9
16	Buyuksehyr	8	2	1	5	-6	-3.3	7
17	Pendikspor	9	1	4	4	-8	-4.4	7
18	Karagumruk	8	1	3	4	-2	-5.3	6
19	İstanbulspor	8	1	2	5	-7	-7.7	5
20	Samsunspor	7	0	1	6	-9	+0.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	5	5	0	0	+11	+4.1	15
2	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+11	+9.6	12
3	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+6	+7.1	12
4	Kayserispor	5	3	2	0	+5	+3.3	11
5	Besiktas	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.9	10
6	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.1	9
7	Hatayspor	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.5	8
8	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+0.6	8
9	Rizespor	4	2	2	0	+2	+1.5	8
10	Kasimpasa	5	2	1	2	-4	-3.3	7
11	Gaziantep	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.1	6
12	Ankaragücü	4	1	2	1	+2	+1.2	5
13	Antalyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.0	5
14	Konyaspor	5	1	1	3	-2	-1.2	4
15	İstanbulspor	5	1	1	3	-3	-5.2	4
16	Buyuksehyr	4	1	0	3	-2	-3.2	3
17	Sivasspor	5	0	3	2	-3	+0.2	3
18	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.1	2
19	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-5	-3.8	2
20	Samsunspor	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	4	1	0	+7	+5.8	13
2	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+6	+7.2	12
3	Kasimpasa	4	2	2	0	+2	+0.2	8
4	Sivasspor	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.1	7
5	Hatayspor	4	1	3	0	+4	+2.4	6
6	Besiktas	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.8	6
7	Rizespor	5	2	0	3	-6	-5.8	6
8	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.5	5
9	Pendikspor	5	1	2	2	-3	-0.6	5
10	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	+0	-2.2	4
11	Ankaragücü	5	1	1	3	-1	-3.3	4
12	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-2	-0.4	4
13	Buyuksehyr	4	1	1	2	-4	-0.1	4
14	Trabzonspor	4	1	0	3	+0	-2.8	3
15	Gaziantep	5	1	0	4	-6	-5.1	3
16	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
17	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-4	-3.0	2
18	Alanyaspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.2	2
19	İstanbulspor	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.5	1
20	Samsunspor	5	0	1	4	-6	+0.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.