← Match Finder
Taça de Portugal
Referee: Miguel Fonseca
5–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

União de Leiria Atlético Malveira
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 38%
75%
0%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
25%
100%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
4,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+3,5
+0,0
This season — Taça de Portugal · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
8,0
3,0
Scored
7,5
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+7,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

The table before the match União de Leiria 8. · Atlético Malveira 79.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Maritimo 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Nacional 3 2 1 0 +7 7
3 Paredes 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Santa Clara 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Penafiel 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 FC Serpa 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Montalegre 4 2 1 1 -1 7
8 União de Leiria 2 2 0 0 +14 6
9 Mafra 2 2 0 0 +7 6
10 Tondela 2 2 0 0 +6 6
11 Porto 2 2 0 0 +6 6
12 Guimaraes 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 Sp Braga 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +5 6
15 Vilaverdense 3 2 0 1 +3 6
16 Felgueiras 1932 3 2 0 1 +3 6
17 Vianense 3 2 0 1 +3 6
18 Academica 3 2 0 1 +3 6
19 Amarante 2 2 0 0 +3 6
20 Dumiense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
21 Vizela 2 2 0 0 +2 6
22 Torreense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
23 Gil Vicente 2 2 0 0 +2 6
24 Rebordosa 3 2 0 1 +1 6
25 CD Olivais e Moscavide 3 2 0 1 +1 6
26 Sintrense 3 2 0 1 -2 6
27 Pêro Pinheiro 3 1 2 0 +1 5
28 O Elvas 3 1 2 0 +1 5
29 Alverca 2 1 1 0 +13 4
30 Benfica Castelo Branco 2 1 1 0 +7 4
31 Valadares Gaia 2 1 1 0 +4 4
32 Canelas 2010 3 1 1 1 +3 4
33 Tirsense 2 1 1 0 +2 4
34 AD Marco 09 2 1 1 0 +2 4
35 Casa Pia 2 1 1 0 +2 4
36 Lusitano Évora 1911 2 1 1 0 +2 4
37 Leixoes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
38 Vitoria Setubal 3 1 1 1 +0 4
39 Lusitânia Lourosa 2 1 0 1 +9 3
40 Amora 2 1 0 1 +7 3
41 União Santarém 2 1 0 1 +5 3
42 Estoril 1 1 0 0 +5 3
43 Oliveira Hospital 2 1 0 1 +4 3
44 Famalicao 2 1 0 1 +3 3
45 Moncarapachense 2 1 0 1 +2 3
46 Vilar de Perdizes 2 1 0 1 +2 3
47 Juventude Évora 2 1 0 1 +2 3
48 Vila Meã 2 1 0 1 +2 3
49 Arouca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
50 Sp Lisbon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
51 Boavista 1 1 0 0 +2 3
52 Salgueiros 2 1 0 1 +1 3
53 Quarteirense SAD 2 1 0 1 +1 3
54 Portimonense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
55 Tocha 2 1 0 1 +0 3
56 Sandinenses 2 1 0 1 +0 3
57 Feirense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
58 1º Dezembro 2 1 0 1 +0 3
59 Estrela 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Pevidem 2 1 0 1 +0 3
61 CF Os Belenenses 2 1 0 1 +0 3
62 AVS 2 1 0 1 +0 3
63 Louletano 2 1 0 1 +0 3
64 Alqueidão da Serra 2 1 0 1 -1 3
65 Academico Viseu 2 1 0 1 -1 3
66 Rabo Peixe 2 1 0 1 -1 3
67 Fabril Barreiro 2 1 0 1 -1 3
68 Ribeirão 2 1 0 1 -1 3
69 Mirandela 2 1 0 1 -2 3
70 Florgrade 2 1 0 1 -2 3
71 Mortágua 2 1 0 1 -2 3
72 Camacha 2 1 0 1 -2 3
73 Lusitânia 2 1 0 1 -2 3
74 Santa Maria FC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
75 Castrense 2 1 0 1 -2 3
76 União Micaelense 2 1 0 1 -3 3
77 Fontinhas 2 1 0 1 -3 3
78 Pombal 2 1 0 1 -3 3
79 Atlético Malveira 2 0 2 0 +0 2
80 Peniche 2 0 2 0 +0 2
81 Atlético Arcos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Anadia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Varzim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 União Lamas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Caldas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Marinhense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Chaves 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Gondomar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Sanjoanense 2 0 1 1 -1 1
90 Atlético CP 2 0 1 1 -1 1
91 Oliveirense 2 0 1 1 -2 1
92 Portosantense 2 0 1 1 -2 1
93 SC Covilha 2 0 1 1 -3 1
94 Os Limianos 2 0 1 1 -4 1
95 Farense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 CF Oliveira Douro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 CD Torres Novas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Rio Ave 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Lobão 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Fafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 União de Tomar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
102 Gouveia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
103 Moreirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
104 Real 1 0 0 1 -1 0
105 Padernense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
106 Os Marialvas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
107 Oriental Lisboa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
108 São João Ver 1 0 0 1 -1 0
109 Pacos Ferreira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
110 Penedo Gordo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
111 Trofense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
112 Guadalupe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Imortal Albufeira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Alcochetense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Lanheses 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Rebordelo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
117 Recreativa de Lamelas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
118 Beira-Mar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
119 Aliados Lordelo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
120 Foz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
121 Sertanense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
122 Lusitano FCV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
123 Operário 1 0 0 1 -2 0
124 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
125 Atlético Reguengos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
126 Brito 1 0 0 1 -2 0
127 Mondinense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
128 Flamengos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
129 Vila Real 1 0 0 1 -2 0
130 Os Vilanovenses 1 0 0 1 -2 0
131 União de Coimbra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
132 Portel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
133 FC Barreirense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
134 Vitória de Sernache 1 0 0 1 -3 0
135 Luzense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
136 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1 0 0 1 -4 0
137 Torre de Moncorvo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
138 AD Fornos Algodres 1 0 0 1 -5 0
139 Ponte 1 0 0 1 -5 0
140 Gafetense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
141 Proença-a-Nova 1 0 0 1 -6 0
142 Amiense 1 0 0 1 -7 0
143 Vitória do Pico 1 0 0 1 -8 0
144 Régua 1 0 0 1 -10 0
145 Pedrógão São Pedro 1 0 0 1 -12 0
146 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

União de Leiria Atlético Malveira
1–0 Diogo Amado
18′
2–0 Diogo Amado
23′
3–0 Jair da Silva
27′
4–0 Marco Baixinho
37′
Half-time 4–0
Afonso Valente 🔁
↦ Leandro Antunes
46′
João Resende 🔁
↦ Z. Ouattara
46′
Sérgio Ribeiro 🔁
↦ Pedro Empis
46′
46′
🔁 Ailton Duarte
↦ Diogo Pêras
46′
🔁 Drula
↦ Tiago Rodrigues
53′
🟨 A. Duarte
Arsenio 🟨
54′
B. Róchez 🔁
↦ Jair da Silva
64′
V. Kobylianskyi 🔁
↦ Diogo Amado
64′
65′
🔁 Igor Sani
↦ Ari Almeida
65′
🔁 Efraim Shwayze
↦ Rafael Alves
72′
🔁 Rodrigo Correia
↦ Ivo Dias
5–0 Sérgio Ribeiro
88′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

União de Leiria

47 João Oliveira
6 Marco Baixinho
15 Káká
3 V. Lystsov
14 Pedro Empis
24 Z. Ouattara
22 Valdir Júnior
25 Diogo Amado
8 Arsénio
7 Leandro Antunes
11 Jair da Silva
Bench (9)
19 Afonso Valente
20 João Resende
30 Sérgio Ribeiro
35 B. Róchez
88 V. Kobylianskyi
17 L. Vega
21 Leandro Silva
29 Fábio Ferreira
72 Vasco Oliveira

Coach: Vasco Botelho da Costa

Atlético Malveira

1 Pedrinho
13 Ivo Dias
Bruno Santos
2 Jorge Rolo
28 Leandro Bral
27 Gabriel Gonçalves
17 Diogo Pêras
5 Tiago Rodrigues
77 Luis Selemane
Rafael Alves
Ari Almeida
Bench (9)
94 Ailton Duarte
12 Drula
50 Igor Sani
Efraim Shwayze
4 Rodrigo Correia
20 Marcelo Silva
97 Ivan Dias
Alexsander Soares
Diogo Carvalho

Coach: Nuno Lopes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.