Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Heidenheim
Bochum
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Leverkusen
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +27 | +12.8 | 34 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | +34 | +27.9 | 32 |
| 3 |
Stuttgart
|
12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | +16 | +17.2 | 27 |
| 4 |
Dortmund
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +6 | +3.0 | 24 |
| 5 |
RB Leipzig
|
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +17 | +7.3 | 23 |
| 6 |
Hoffenheim
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +3 | -0.9 | 19 |
| 7 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +5 | +0.4 | 18 |
| 8 |
Wolfsburg
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -4 | -2.4 | 16 |
| 9 |
Freiburg
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -8 | -0.2 | 15 |
| 10 |
Augsburg
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | +0.3 | 14 |
| 11 |
M'gladbach
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | -2.4 | 13 |
| 12 |
Werder Bremen
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | -5.4 | 11 |
| 13 |
Heidenheim
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | -13.0 | 10 |
| 14 |
Bochum
|
11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -14 | -7.2 | 9 |
| 15 |
Darmstadt
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -18 | -13.2 | 9 |
| 16 |
Mainz
|
11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -13 | -5.4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -15 | -4.0 | 7 |
| 18 |
FC Koln
|
12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -15 | -14.8 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
K. Müller
G
O. Traoré
D
P. Mainka
D
B. Gimber
D
J. Föhrenbach
D
L. Maloney
M
E. Dinkçi
M
A. Beck
M
J. Schöppner
M
J. Beste
M
T. Kleindienst
F
Coach: F. Schmidt
K. Schlotterbeck
D
Bernardo
D
P. Osterhage
M
K. Stöger
M
L. Daschner
F
P. Hofmann
F
Coach: T. Letsch
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bayern Munich
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Stuttgart
M'gladbach
Heidenheim
M'gladbach
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Augsburg
F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.