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Süper Lig
Referee: A Kardeşler
Fenerbahce
S S T T U
2–1
Full-time
Karagumruk
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 54%
83%
25%
Points per game
2,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
58%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
33%
42%
Average goals
3,3
1,9
Scored
2,6
1,1
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,94 xG 0,56
54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Karagumruk 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 13 11 1 1 +18 +19.1 34
2 Fenerbahce 12 10 1 1 +23 +23.4 31
3 Besiktas 13 8 1 4 +5 +8.7 25
4 Ad. Demirspor 13 6 5 2 +11 +3.0 23
5 Kayserispor 13 6 5 2 +4 -2.4 23
6 Trabzonspor 12 7 1 4 +7 -2.7 22
7 Antalyaspor 13 5 4 4 +4 +0.8 19
8 Kasimpasa 13 5 3 5 -4 -3.7 18
9 Rizespor 13 5 3 5 -6 -7.7 18
10 Hatayspor 13 4 5 4 +3 +2.2 17
11 Ankaragücü 13 4 4 5 +0 -2.2 16
12 Gaziantep 13 5 0 8 -6 -4.4 15
13 Karagumruk 12 3 5 4 +3 -5.0 14
14 Sivasspor 12 3 5 4 -4 -0.2 14
15 Konyaspor 13 3 4 6 -5 -3.1 13
16 Pendikspor 12 3 4 5 -10 -5.8 13
17 Alanyaspor 13 2 4 7 -12 -5.7 10
18 Buyuksehyr 12 2 3 7 -8 -4.8 9
19 Samsunspor 13 2 2 9 -11 +0.3 8
20 İstanbulspor 13 2 2 9 -12 -9.8 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Karagumruk
34′
🟨 Federico Ceccherini
39′
C. Keles 0–1
Ryan Mendes
Half-time 0–1
Miguel Crespo 🟨
47′
47′
🟨 Matías Dituro
1–1 D. Tadić
48′
56′
🟨 Münir Levent Mercan
2–1 D. Tadić
S. Szymański
58′
Sebastian Szymański 🟨
68′
69′
🔁 S. Sturaro
↦ S. Féghouli
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ E. Džeko
74′
C. Ünder 🔁
↦ İ. Kahveci
74′
77′
🔁 N. Sangaré
↦ D. Biraschi
78′
🔁 K. Lasagna
↦ C. Keles
78′
🔁 Serdar Dursun
↦ M. Rohdén
81′
🟨 Ibrahim Drešević
Dušan Tadić 🟨
87′
J. King 🔁
↦ D. Tadić
88′
Cengiz Ünder 🟨
91′
Samet Akaydin 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livaković G
16 M. Müldür D
3 S. Akaydin D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
27 Miguel Crespo M
5 İ. Yüksek M
17 İ. Kahveci M
53 S. Szymański M
10 D. Tadić M
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (10)
23 M. Batshuayi
20 C. Ünder
15 J. King
11 R. Kent
22 U. Nayir
99 E. Mor
95 Y. Akçiçek
70 İ. Eğribayat
29 A. Aydın
28 B. Elmaz

Coach: İ. Kartal

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
1 M. Dituro G
4 D. Biraschi D
5 I. Drešević D
26 F. Ceccherini D
18 L. Mercan D
8 S. Féghouli M
20 Ryan Mendes M
6 M. Rohdén M
9 V. Eysseric M
7 C. Keles M
10 G. Yalçın F
Bench (10)
27 S. Sturaro
30 N. Sangaré
15 K. Lasagna
19 Serdar Dursun
22 E. Tintiş
97 F. Paoletti
29 O. Shukurov
77 A. Uğur
3 F. Veseli
23 E. Bilgin

Coach: A. Erdem

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
U
6,46
B
10,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kardeşler · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.