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Allsvenskan
Referee: F Klitte
Varnamo
T S U T T
2–0
Full-time
Vasteras SK
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Vasteras SK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 23%
23%
23%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 48%
45%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,11 xG 0,56
41% Possession 59%
18 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 9
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Varnamo 15. · Vasteras SK 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 23 15 5 3 +34 +21.0 50
2 Djurgarden 22 13 3 6 +12 +1.0 42
3 Hammarby 22 12 4 6 +17 +3.7 40
4 AIK 23 12 3 8 +0 +2.1 39
5 Mjallby 23 11 5 7 +6 +1.3 38
6 Elfsborg 23 11 4 8 +11 +5.3 37
7 GAIS 23 11 4 8 +1 -4.1 37
8 Sirius 22 10 4 8 +5 +1.2 34
9 Hacken 22 9 6 7 +6 -2.4 33
10 Brommapojkarna 23 6 9 8 -6 -1.0 27
11 Norrkoping 23 7 5 11 -17 -5.0 26
12 Goteborg 22 5 7 10 -11 -5.9 22
13 Kalmar 23 6 3 14 -17 -7.3 21
14 Halmstad 22 7 0 15 -17 -6.9 21
15 Varnamo 22 5 5 12 -12 -8.1 20
16 Vasteras SK 22 5 3 14 -12 +5.3 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. May -24 Vasteras SK – Varnamo 0–2

Match report

Varnamo Vasteras SK
1–0 L. Le Roux
J. Kalu
38′
2–0 V. Larsson
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Linday
↦ A. Warneryd
65′
🔁 S. Johansson
↦ M. Larsson
65′
🔁 Viktor Granath
↦ I. Diabate
M. Bustos 🔁
↦ G. Engvall
66′
A. Zeljkovic 🔁
↦ J. Kalu
66′
72′
🔁 Pedro Ribeiro
↦ F. Smand
F. Winsth 🔁
↦ A. Lohikangas
74′
S. Thern 🔁
↦ F. Adjei
74′
86′
🔁 Y. Sanyang
↦ D. Ask
H. Näsström 🔁
↦ Wenderson
90′
95′
🟨 Marcus Linday
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Varnamo

3-4-3
39 V. Andersson G
23 S. Kotto D
15 M. Steinwender D
24 E. Grozdanic D
5 V. Larsson M
11 Wenderson M
21 L. Le Roux M
16 A. Lohikangas M
14 G. Engvall F
9 J. Kalu F
28 F. Adjei F
Bench (8)
19 M. Bustos
10 A. Zeljkovic
20 F. Winsth
22 S. Thern
6 H. Näsström
2 J. Rapp
7 Carl Johansson
31 A. Rosander

Coach: A. Mravac

Vasteras SK

3-4-3
1 A. Fagerström G
3 G. Granath D
18 F. Nsabiyumva D
16 F. Smand D
29 A. Warneryd M
10 D. Ask M
5 K. Gunnarsson M
44 M. Larsson M
15 C. Jebara F
17 I. Diabate F
30 A. Boudah F
Bench (9)
24 M. Linday
6 S. Johansson
14 Viktor Granath
7 Pedro Ribeiro
27 Y. Sanyang
22 E. Bouzaiene
8 M. Ahlinvi
35 J. Brattberg
31 I. Jönsson

Coach: K. Karlsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Klitte · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.