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Superligaen
Referee: S Rasmussen
Sonderjyske
S T U S T
2–1
Full-time
Vejle
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Vejle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
1,7
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 7%
13%
0%
Points per game
0,6
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
0,9
0,6
Conceded
2,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-2,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,37 xG 0,34
55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sonderjyske 11. · Vejle 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 8 6 2 0 +9 +6.7 20
2 Aarhus 8 5 2 1 +14 +1.6 17
3 Silkeborg 8 5 1 2 +6 +0.6 16
4 Brondby 8 4 2 2 +6 +5.4 14
5 FC Copenhagen 8 4 2 2 +5 +4.3 14
6 Viborg 9 3 3 3 +3 -2.4 12
7 Randers FC 8 3 3 2 +1 -0.5 12
8 Nordsjaelland 9 3 3 3 -1 +5.2 12
9 Aalborg 8 3 0 5 -11 -5.1 9
10 Lyngby 8 1 2 5 -6 -2.7 5
11 Sonderjyske 8 1 2 5 -9 -9.6 5
12 Vejle 8 0 0 8 -17 -3.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sonderjyske Vejle
12′
🟨 Marius Elvius
1–0 L. Qamili ⚽
K. Ingason
27′
42′
🟨 Tobias Lauritsen
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Kirkegaard
↦ H. Barry
61′
🔁 Y. N'Gbakoto
↦ A. Jacobsen
61′
🔁 M. Juwara
↦ D. Emmanouilidis
M. Agger 🔁
↦ L. Björklund
63′
A. Oggesen 🔁
↦ J. Simonsen
64′
T. Sommer 🔁
↦ J. Gallegos
64′
65′
🟨 Kristian Kirkegaard
71′
🟨 Musa Juwara
M. Dal Hende 🔁
↦ E. Duru
72′
74′
⚽ Y. N'Gbakoto 1–1
M. Juwara
Jakob Busk 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Lundrim Hetemi
77′
🔁 E. Yeboah
↦ C. Gammelgaard
I. Djantou 🔁
↦ K. Ingason
81′
89′
🔁 D. van Bruggen
↦ T. Lauritsen
2–1 M. Dal Hende ⚽
A. Oggesen
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sonderjyske

4-3-3
16 J. Busk G
21 J. Simonsen D
12 M. Soulas D
4 D. Grétarsson D
23 E. Duru
7 S. Emini M
6 R. Vinderslev M
8 L. Björklund M
15 L. Qamili F
10 K. Ingason F
17 J. Gallegos F
Bench (9)
25 M. Agger
22 A. Oggesen
26 T. Sommer
5 M. Dal Hende
9 I. Djantou
1 N. Flø
18 I. Nikolov
11 A. Lyng
24 O. Hyseni

Coach: T. Nørgaard

Vejle

4-2-3-1
1 I. Vekić G
25 L. Hujber D
29 R. Jensen D
4 O. Provstgaard D
59 M. Elvius D
34 L. Hetemi M
5 H. Barry M
37 C. Gammelgaard M
8 T. Lauritsen M
17 D. Emmanouilidis M
18 A. Jacobsen F
Bench (9)
10 K. Kirkegaard
7 Y. N'Gbakoto
11 M. Juwara
33 E. Yeboah
14 D. van Bruggen
13 S. Velkov
71 M. Murata
15 E. Ofori
24 T. Jakobsen

Coach: I. Prelec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

S Rasmussen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.