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Serie B

Referee: G Scatena

Mantova

U S T S T

1–0

Full-time

Cittadella

T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

40%

20%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,6

1,4

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,4

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

17 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

26 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mantova 15. · Cittadella 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	6	4	2	0	+5	14
2	Sassuolo	6	3	2	1	+1	11
3	Cremonese	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Brescia	6	3	0	3	+2	9
5	Spezia	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Sudtirol	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Modena	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Cesena	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Reggiana	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Palermo	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Juve Stabia	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Salernitana	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Mantova	5	2	1	2	-1	7
16	Catanzaro	6	1	3	2	-1	6
17	Bari	5	1	2	2	-1	5
18	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-2	5
19	Carrarese	5	1	0	4	-4	3
20	Frosinone	5	0	3	2	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Cesena	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Modena	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Mantova	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Salernitana	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Sudtirol	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Catanzaro	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Bari	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Frosinone	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	Carrarese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Palermo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Cittadella	2	0	2	0	+0	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Cittadella	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Palermo	4	2	0	2	+0	6
5	Juve Stabia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
6	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Spezia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
8	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Sudtirol	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Brescia	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Modena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Bari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Cesena	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Salernitana	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Catanzaro	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Mantova	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Carrarese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.