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Superligaen
Referee: Peter Kjaersgaard-Andersen
Aalborg
T U S T S
1–1
Full-time
Lyngby
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Lyngby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
This season — Superligaen · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalborg 11. · Lyngby 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 8 6 1 1 +7 19
2 Randers FC 8 5 3 0 +7 18
3 Viborg 8 5 0 3 +3 15
4 Silkeborg 8 4 1 3 +4 13
5 Aarhus 8 4 1 3 +3 13
6 FC Copenhagen 9 4 0 5 +1 12
7 Horsens 8 3 2 3 -1 11
8 Odense 9 3 1 5 -7 10
9 Midtjylland 8 2 3 3 +0 9
10 Brondby 8 3 0 5 -5 9
11 Aalborg 8 2 2 4 -3 8
12 Lyngby 8 0 2 6 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalborg Lyngby
S. Otoa 🔁
↦ L. Kramer
29′
Half-time 0–0
M. Højholt 🔁
↦ Pedro Ferreira
46′
1–0 Allan Sousa
47′
50′
K. Jørgensen 1–1
A. Sørensen
57′
🟨 Magnus Kaastrup
58′
🟨 Marcel Rømer
Y. Bakiz 🔁
↦ M. Makarić
60′
O. Ross 🔁
↦ L. Andersen
60′
60′
🔁 F. Gytkjær
↦ A. Finnbogason
66′
🟨 Tochi Chukwuani
Kilian Ludewig ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
67′
69′
🔁 R. Thellufsen
↦ M. Kaastrup
69′
🔁 C. Winther
↦ T. Chukwuani
Allan Sousa 🟨
72′
J. Ahlmann 🔁
↦ A. Poulsen
85′
91′
🔁 L. Hey
↦ M. Westergaard
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aalborg

4-5-1
1 J. Posavec G
32 K. Ludewig D
2 K. Pallesen D
21 L. Kramer D
25 A. Poulsen D
18 L. Prip M
8 I. Fossum M
6 Pedro Ferreira M
10 L. Andersen M
7 Allan Sousa M
9 M. Makarić F
Bench (9)
34 S. Otoa
14 M. Højholt
23 Y. Bakiz
38 O. Ross
3 J. Ahlmann
22 T. Sander
31 A. Noshe
19 A. Ementa
28 J. Pedersen

Coach: L. Friis

Lyngby

4-3-1-2
16 M. Kikkenborg G
20 K. Jørgensen D
30 M. Rømer D
23 P. Gregor D
17 A. Sørensen D
22 M. Westergaard M
42 T. Chukwuani M
11 M. Kaastrup M
18 A. Finnbogason M
9 M. Kristensen F
21 S. Magnússon F
Bench (8)
26 F. Gytkjær
10 R. Thellufsen
13 C. Winther
29 L. Hey
3 B. Hämäläinen
7 E. Nielsen
1 F. Ibsen
2 M. Juhl

Coach: F. Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Peter Kjaersgaard-Andersen · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.