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Svenska Cupen

Varberg

T T S T T

2–0

Full-time

IF Karlstad

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg IF Karlstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

33%

75%

Both score Ø 29%

33%

25%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Varberg 48. · IF Karlstad 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sirius	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Hammarby	4	4	0	0	+14	12
3	GAIS	4	4	0	0	+10	12
4	Mjallby	4	4	0	0	+7	12
5	Goteborg	4	3	1	0	+10	10
6	Hacken	3	3	0	0	+12	9
7	Djurgarden	4	3	0	1	+11	9
8	Brommapojkarna	4	3	0	1	+6	9
9	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+6	9
10	Elfsborg	4	3	0	1	+5	9
11	Halmstad	3	3	0	0	+5	9
12	Norrkoping	4	3	0	1	+3	9
13	Falkenbergs FF	4	3	0	1	+2	9
14	Kalmar	4	2	1	1	+4	7
15	Degerfors	4	2	1	1	+2	7
16	Oster	4	2	1	1	+0	7
17	AIK	3	2	0	1	+8	6
18	Ostersunds FK	4	1	3	0	+3	6
19	IF Karlstad	4	2	0	2	+0	6
20	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
21	Landskrona	4	2	0	2	-2	6
22	IK brage	4	2	0	2	-3	6
23	IFK Skövde	5	2	0	3	-8	6
24	Orgryte	4	1	2	1	-2	5
25	Täby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Varnamo	4	1	1	2	+0	4
27	Orebro SK	4	1	1	2	-1	4
28	Sundsvall	4	1	1	2	-5	4
29	Helsingborg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
30	Karlberg	2	1	0	1	+4	3
31	Oddevold	3	1	0	2	+2	3
32	Lund	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Enköping	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Assyriska FF	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Zenith	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Haninge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Sölvesborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Öckerö	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Lödde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Syrianska FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Myresjö / Vetlanda	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Varberg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
49	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Torstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Viggbyholms IK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Korsnäs	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Sandviken	4	1	0	3	-3	3
54	Räppe	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Sylvia	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	Qviding FIF	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	Nässjö	2	1	0	1	-5	3
58	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	-5	3
59	Trelleborg	4	1	0	3	-9	3
60	Friska Viljor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Högaborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Torslanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Vänersborgs FK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Centern	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Hudiksvall	2	0	1	1	-7	1
66	Rosengård	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Gute	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Gimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Ursvik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Hjulsbro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Farsta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Stenungsund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Kristianstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Karlslund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Berga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Arameiska / Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Västboås	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Dvärsätt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Jönköping Torpa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Eslov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	IFK Tidaholm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Franke	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Viken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Oster	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Goteborg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Täby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+3	3
12	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Ostersunds FK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Enköping	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	IK brage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Assyriska FF	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Öckerö	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Lödde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Torstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	Viggbyholms IK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
29	Korsnäs	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Räppe	2	1	0	1	-3	3
31	Sylvia	2	1	0	1	-3	3
32	IF Karlstad	3	1	0	2	-4	3
33	IFK Skövde	3	1	0	2	-10	3
34	Kalmar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Helsingborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Varnamo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
37	Vänersborgs FK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
38	Centern	2	0	1	1	-2	1
39	Hudiksvall	2	0	1	1	-7	1
40	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Gimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Ursvik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Farsta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Stenungsund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Kubikenborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Karlslund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Orebro SK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Berga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	AIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Sölvesborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Syrianska FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Västboås	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Dvärsätt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Myresjö / Vetlanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Jönköping Torpa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Eslov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	IFK Tidaholm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Trelleborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Viken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Qviding FIF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
76	Nässjö	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	AIK	2	2	0	0	+10	6
3	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Brommapojkarna	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Falkenbergs FF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
15	Orgryte	3	1	2	0	+1	5
16	Orebro SK	3	1	1	1	+1	4
17	Sundsvall	3	1	1	1	-4	4
18	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+8	3
19	Oddevold	2	1	0	1	+5	3
20	Karlberg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Kubikenborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Lund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Nässjö	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	IFK Skövde	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Sölvesborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Myresjö / Vetlanda	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Zenith	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Haninge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Syrianska FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Qviding FIF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Ostersunds FK	3	0	3	0	+0	3
38	Norrkoping	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	Degerfors	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	Varberg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
41	Sandviken	3	1	0	2	-2	3
42	Oster	2	1	0	1	-3	3
43	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	-3	3
44	IK brage	3	1	0	2	-4	3
45	Trelleborg	3	1	0	2	-5	3
46	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
47	Friska Viljor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Högaborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Torslanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Rosengård	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gute	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Hjulsbro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Kristianstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Arameiska / Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Franke	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.