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Serie A
Referee: G Mucera
Bologna
S S S S S
1–2
Full-time
Verona
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Verona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
0,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 24%
41%
7%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
48%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,30 xG 2,00
67% Possession 33%
19 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
5 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 8. · Verona 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 27 22 1 4 +43 +34.4 67
2 Milan 27 16 9 2 +23 +16.8 57
3 Napoli 28 17 5 6 +14 +9.1 56
4 Como 28 14 9 5 +25 +19.8 51
5 Roma 27 16 3 8 +18 +10.6 51
6 Juventus 28 14 8 6 +22 +25.1 50
7 Atalanta 28 12 10 6 +13 +11.9 46
8 Bologna 27 11 6 10 +4 +0.5 39
9 Sassuolo 27 11 5 11 -2 -9.3 38
10 Udinese 28 10 6 12 -8 -7.5 36
11 Lazio 27 8 10 9 -1 -7.9 34
12 Parma 27 8 9 10 -12 -14.6 33
13 Cagliari 28 7 9 12 -8 -13.6 30
14 Torino 28 8 6 14 -21 -10.7 30
15 Genoa 27 6 9 12 -7 -2.1 27
16 Lecce 28 7 6 15 -17 -19.9 27
17 Fiorentina 27 5 9 13 -12 +4.4 24
18 Cremonese 28 5 9 14 -18 -19.4 24
19 Verona 27 2 9 16 -28 -9.5 15
20 Pisa 28 1 12 15 -28 -17.9 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Verona
16′
🟨 Kieron Bowie
Lewis Ferguson 🟨
40′
42′
🟨 Abdou Harroui
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Rowe
N. Zortea
49′
53′
M. Frese 1–1
57′
K. Bowie 1–2
G. Orban
F. Bernardeschi 🔁
↦ R. Orsolini
66′
S. Sohm 🔁
↦ L. Ferguson
66′
74′
🔁 T. Suslov
↦ A. Harroui
C. Lykogiannis 🔁
↦ N. Zortea
77′
B. Dominguez 🔁
↦ J. Rowe
77′
82′
🔁 N. Valentini
↦ D. Oyegoke
82′
🔁 A. Sarr
↦ K. Bowie
T. Pobega 🔁
↦ M. Vitik
84′
87′
ℹ️ Amin Sarr
VAR: Goal cancelled
94′
🔁 Al Musrati
↦ G. Orban
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bologna

4-1-4-1
1 L. Skorupski G
20 N. Zortea D
41 M. Vitik D
26 J. Lucumi D
17 Joao Mario D
19 L. Ferguson M
7 R. Orsolini M
6 N. Moro M
21 J. Odgaard M
11 J. Rowe M
9 S. Castro F
Bench (12)
13 F. Ravaglia
25 M. Pessina
4 T. Pobega
5 E. Fauske Helland
10 F. Bernardeschi
16 N. Casale
22 C. Lykogiannis
23 S. Sohm
24 T. Dallinga
28 N. Cambiaghi
29 L. De Silvestri
30 B. Dominguez

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Verona

5-3-2
1 L. Montipo G
2 D. Oyegoke D
15 V. Nelsson D
5 A. Edmundsson D
3 M. Frese D
12 D. Bradaric D
11 J. Akpa Akpro M
63 R. Gagliardini M
21 A. Harroui M
18 K. Bowie F
16 G. Orban F
Bench (11)
34 S. Perilli
94 G. Toniolo
6 N. Valentini
7 R. Belghali
9 A. Sarr
10 T. Suslov
25 D. Mosquera
36 C. Niasse
41 Isaac
70 F. Cham
73 Al Musrati

Coach: Paolo Sammarco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,54
U
3,89
B ✓
6,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Mucera · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.