Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Nijmegen
Volendam
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | +44 | +28.1 | 68 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | +20 | +22.2 | 49 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | +18 | +24.8 | 44 |
| 4 |
Nijmegen
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +18 | +6.3 | 43 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | +12 | +6.0 | 41 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +1 | +14.6 | 39 |
| 7 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | -10 | -2.3 | 38 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +0 | +8.8 | 36 |
| 9 |
Utrecht
|
25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | +7 | +2.7 | 34 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | +2 | +9.8 | 34 |
| 11 |
For Sittard
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -9 | -12.6 | 32 |
| 12 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | -4 | -15.5 | 29 |
| 13 |
Zwolle
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -16 | -17.1 | 29 |
| 14 |
Volendam
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -12 | -21.6 | 27 |
| 15 |
Excelsior
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -17 | -13.0 | 26 |
| 16 |
Telstar
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -7 | -11.5 | 24 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -14 | -8.4 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | -33 | -21.2 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Pereira
D
P. Sandler
D
D. Fonville
D
S. Ouaissa
M
D. Nejasmic
M
K. Sano
M
B. Onal
M
T. Chery
F
N. Lebreton
F
B. Linssen
F
Coach: Dick Schreuder
K. van Oevelen
G
N. Verschuren
D
D. Kwakman
M
R. van Cruijsen
A. Oehlers
M
J. Bacuna
F
Coach: Rick Kruys
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
Nijmegen
For Sittard
Ajax
Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
Nijmegen
Nijmegen
Utrecht
M Nagtegaal · 86 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.