Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Grasshoppers
Lausanne
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Thun
|
28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | +33 | +5.3 | 65 |
| 2 |
St. Gallen
|
29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | +23 | +9.2 | 54 |
| 3 |
Lugano
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +10 | -4.5 | 49 |
| 4 |
Basel
|
29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +4 | +12.9 | 46 |
| 5 |
Sion
|
29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | +8 | +9.1 | 42 |
| 6 |
Young Boys
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +4 | -0.8 | 42 |
| 7 |
Luzern
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | +3 | -0.3 | 36 |
| 8 |
Lausanne
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -3 | +5.3 | 33 |
| 9 |
Servette
|
29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -6 | +1.9 | 33 |
| 10 |
Zurich
|
29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | -16 | -4.4 | 31 |
| 11 |
Grasshoppers
|
28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -13 | -13.2 | 24 |
| 12 |
Winterthur
|
29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -47 | -20.5 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Hammel
G
M. Ngom
D
A. Diaby
D
L. Mikulic
D
T. Meyer
M
S. Stroscio
M
J. Asp
F
L. Plange
F
M. Frey
F
Coach: Gerald Scheiblehner
K. Letica
G
B. Soppy
D
K. Mouanga
D
K. Sow
D
M. Poaty
D
B. Lekoueiry
M
O. Custodio
M
N. Beloko
M
G. Diakite
M
O. Janneh
F
S. Traore
F
Coach: Peter Zeidler
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Basel
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
Lugano
Grasshoppers
Zurich
St. Gallen
Grasshoppers
Luzern
Grasshoppers
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.