Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lyon
Paris FC
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | +32 | +29.3 | 57 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | +27 | +18.3 | 56 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | +19 | +10.3 | 46 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | +13 | +7.7 | 45 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | -1.3 | 43 |
| 6 |
Lille
|
25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +6 | +9.6 | 41 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | +6 | +5.9 | 40 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +9 | +8.7 | 36 |
| 9 |
Brest
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +0 | +0.3 | 36 |
| 10 |
Lorient
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | -4 | -1.5 | 34 |
| 11 |
Angers
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -7 | -15.8 | 32 |
| 12 |
Toulouse
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | +4 | +3.6 | 31 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -12 | -12.3 | 26 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -12 | -10.3 | 26 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -18 | -10.2 | 24 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -16 | -7.7 | 19 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -20 | -12.8 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
25 | 3 | 4 | 18 | -34 | -21.8 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Greif
G
H. Hateboer
D
C. Mata
D
M. Niakhate
D
N. Tagliafico
D
T. Morton
M
T. Tessmann
M
K. Merah
M
Abner Vinicius
M
R. Himbert
F
Coach: Paulo Fonseca
K. Trapp
G
A. Camara
D
D. Coppola
D
M. Mbow
D
M. Munetsi
M
P. Lees-Melou
M
R. Matondo
M
J. Ikone
F
J. Krasso
F
M. Simon
F
Coach: Antoine Kombouare
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lyon
Lens
Marseille
Lyon
Strasbourg
Lyon
Lyon
Nice
Nantes
Lyon
E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.