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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Kos
0–1
Full-time
GKS Katowice
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom GKS Katowice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 38%
35%
41%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
65%
55%
Both score Ø 60%
74%
45%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,31 xG 0,81
67% Possession 33%
15 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 25
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Radomiak Radom 10. · GKS Katowice 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zaglebie 24 11 8 5 +12 -1.6 41
2 Jagiellonia 23 10 8 5 +10 -2.0 38
3 Lech Poznan 24 10 8 6 +5 +16.2 38
4 Lechia Gdansk 24 10 6 8 +4 +3.2 36
5 Gornik Zabrze 24 10 5 9 +2 -3.8 35
6 Rakow 23 10 4 9 +2 +5.1 34
7 Cracovia 23 8 9 6 +4 +3.1 33
8 Wisla Plock 23 8 9 6 +4 +1.9 33
9 Korona Kielce 24 9 6 9 +2 -4.0 33
10 Radomiak Radom 23 8 8 7 +5 +0.7 32
11 Pogon Szczecin 23 9 4 10 -2 +10.2 31
12 Motor Lublin 24 7 10 7 -5 -6.7 31
13 GKS Katowice 22 9 3 10 -1 -6.6 30
14 Piast Gliwice 24 8 5 11 -4 -6.5 29
15 Widzew Lodz 24 8 3 13 -3 +4.9 27
16 Arka Gdynia 23 7 5 11 -19 -8.1 26
17 Legia 23 5 10 8 -2 -0.1 25
18 Nieciecza 24 5 7 12 -14 -5.9 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Radomiak Radom GKS Katowice
Adrián Diéguez 🟨
37′
45′
A. Jedrych 0–1
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Alan Czerwiński
A. Tapsoba 🔁
↦ Maurides
60′
V. Lopes 🔁
↦ E. Balde
60′
Rafał Wolski 🟨
63′
64′
🔁 M. Kuusk
↦ A. Czerwinski
64′
🔁 B. Galan
↦ E. Jirka
64′
🔁 D. Rasak
↦ M. Kowalczyk
R. Baro 🔁
↦ R. Wolski
71′
S. Soumah 🔁
↦ J. Wilson-Esbrand
71′
85′
🟨 Arkadiusz Jędrych
M. Kaput 🔁
↦ I. Camara
86′
87′
🔁 M. Wedrychowski
↦ M. Wdowiak
91′
🔁 I. Shkurin
↦ A. Zrelak
92′
🟨 Sebastian Milewski
97′
🟨 Damian Rasak
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Radomiak Radom

4-1-4-1
1 F. Majchrowicz G
24 Zie Ouattara D
14 S. Kingue D
26 A. Dieguez D
3 J. Wilson-Esbrand D
2 I. Camara M
13 J. Grzesik M
27 R. Wolski M
82 Luquinhas M
21 E. Balde M
25 Maurides F
Bench (12)
44 W. Koptas
75 M. Jerke
9 Leandro
6 R. Baro
5 J. Blasco
20 Joao Pedro
19 S. Soumah
16 M. Cichocki
28 M. Kaput
15 A. Tapsoba
7 V. Lopes
17 A. Zabicki

Coach: Goncalo Feio

GKS Katowice

3-4-3
12 R. Straczek G
30 A. Czerwinski D
4 A. Jedrych D
6 L. Klemenz D
97 E. Jirka M
77 M. Kowalczyk M
22 S. Milewski M
23 M. Wasielewski M
70 M. Wdowiak F
99 A. Zrelak F
27 B. Nowak F
Bench (10)
1 D. Kudla
2 M. Kuusk
8 B. Galan
15 E. Markovic
10 M. Wedrychowski
24 K. Gruszkowski
21 J. Kokosinski
11 A. Blad
26 D. Rasak
80 I. Shkurin

Coach: Rafal Gorak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Kos · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.