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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Legia
S S T U S
1–0
Full-time
Korona Kielce
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Korona Kielce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,25 xG 0,35
50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 4. · Korona Kielce 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zaglebie 5 3 1 1 +2 +0.2 10
2 Jagiellonia 4 3 0 1 +2 +0.6 9
3 Radomiak Radom 5 3 0 2 +2 +0.6 9
4 Legia 3 2 1 0 +6 7
5 Rakow 4 2 1 1 +4 +3.2 7
6 Cracovia 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Lech Poznan 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.6 7
8 Widzew Lodz 5 2 1 2 +0 -0.5 7
9 Pogon Szczecin 4 2 0 2 -1 +2.5 6
10 LKS Lodz 5 2 0 3 -4 6
11 Warta Poznan 5 1 2 2 +0 +2.1 5
12 Piast Gliwice 4 1 2 1 +0 +4.2 5
13 Stal Mielec 5 1 2 2 -1 -1.8 5
14 Gornik Zabrze 5 1 2 2 -3 -3.5 5
15 Slask Wroclaw 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.3 4
16 Ruch Chorzow 5 1 1 3 -3 -1.7 4
17 Puszcza 5 1 1 3 -4 -2.7 4
18 Korona Kielce 3 0 1 2 -2 +0.7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Korona Kielce
-5′
🟨 Bartosz Kwiecień
Bartosz Slisz 🟨
11′
1–0 M. Baku
26′
Artur Jędrzejczyk 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
Yuri Ribeiro 🟨
47′
59′
🟨 Dalibor Takáč
J. Elitim 🔁
↦ Josué
60′
Marc Gual 🔁
↦ T. Pekhart
60′
65′
🔁 J. Podgórski
↦ R. Deaconu
65′
🔁 M. Czyżycki
↦ M. Remacle
69′
🔁 Adrián Dalmau
↦ E. Shikavka
B. Kramer 🔁
↦ M. Rosołek
72′
J. Çelhaka 🔁
↦ B. Slisz
72′
Artur Jędrzejczyk 🟨
74′
Artur Jędrzejczyk 🟥
74′
L. Rose 🔁
↦ E. Muçi
76′
77′
ℹ️ Adrian Dalmau
VAR: Penalty cancelled
78′
🔁 M. Strzeboński
↦ D. Takáč
79′
🔁 D. Błanik
↦ K. Petrov
94′
🟨 Nono
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Legia

3-4-3
1 K. Tobiasz G
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
8 R. Augustyniak D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
32 M. Baku M
27 Josué M
99 B. Slisz M
33 P. Kun M
39 M. Rosołek F
7 T. Pekhart F
20 E. Muçi F
Bench (9)
22 J. Elitim
28 Marc Gual
9 B. Kramer
21 J. Çelhaka
92 L. Rose
86 I. Strzałek
18 P. Sokołowski
13 P. Wszołek
30 D. Hładun

Coach: K. Runjaić

Korona Kielce

5-4-1
55 X. Dziekoński G
28 M. Godinho D
2 D. Zator D
90 K. Petrov D
18 Y. Hofmeister D
5 M. Briceag D
10 R. Deaconu M
8 D. Takáč M
11 Nono M
88 M. Remacle M
9 E. Shikavka F
Bench (8)
6 J. Podgórski
98 M. Czyżycki
20 Adrián Dalmau
13 M. Strzeboński
17 D. Błanik
94 B. Kwiecień
19 J. Konstantyn
1 K. Forenc

Coach: K. Kuzera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.